Can we 3barrel bluff here?
Posted by Sjankerd
Posted by
Sjankerd
posted in
Low Stakes
Can we 3barrel bluff here?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
UTG: $50.75
MP: $50.00
CO: $55.31
BN: $52.78
SB: $50.11 (Hero)
BB: $38.84
MP: $50.00
CO: $55.31
BN: $52.78
SB: $50.11 (Hero)
BB: $38.84
BB 7.700 hands
38 Vpip/23 pfr/8 3bet/
Flop fold to CB 40/ Turn fold 55 (overall turn fold not only fold to turn CB)/ River fold 62 / postflop aggresion % 35
Sticky player who can fold rivers. I made this read based on the stats. Is my conclusion about these stats reasonable? Or would u read it differently. Do u see more things that affect our postflop play?
38 Vpip/23 pfr/8 3bet/
Flop fold to CB 40/ Turn fold 55 (overall turn fold not only fold to turn CB)/ River fold 62 / postflop aggresion % 35
Sticky player who can fold rivers. I made this read based on the stats. Is my conclusion about these stats reasonable? Or would u read it differently. Do u see more things that affect our postflop play?
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is SB with
3
A
, ,
Flop
($2.50)
K
T
8
,
Turn
($4.88)
K
T
8
Q
,
River
($11.46)
K
T
8
Q
6
,
Final Pot
SB
lost and shows high card Ace.
BB wins and shows a flush, King high.
BB wins $30.84
Rake is $1.62
BB wins and shows a flush, King high.
BB wins $30.84
Rake is $1.62
Pro''s :
-I have Set advantage and slightly more straights (AJ) and better flushes (AJ).
-I block the nut flushes
Con"s:
-We both have 2pairs but because of his range distribution, he has them more.
-He has all the lower flushes.
-If i read the stats in the right way, he can fold rivers (maybe 2 pairs)? Or is this river stat so high because he arrives on the river with a wide range (and probably doesnt fold 2 pairs)?
I think im overbluffing here because blocking the nutflush doesnt matter that much in SB vs BB? Im curious what u think. Thanks for reading.
Loading 5 Comments...
Not sure about your stakes, but at the $10/$30 stakes i mostly play at nobody ever folds a flush, so you probably wont be able to get him off it, even holding Ac. He is going to be defending more suited combos than you will be raising with, so he shows up with more flushes than you will. And, their are a lot of club draws that will show up at the river here as played. In fact I would think a large majority of his 2-street calling range here is flush draws. If the last club didn't hit you could certainly think about triple barreling but defending range BB v. SB has a lot of suited combos so always need to watch out for the flush.
I wrote big post and clicked F5 lol.
Will be short: I belive Ace of club is pretty great card to bluff on the river and 3s is great too. Your sizing can be slightly bigger or slightly smaller depending how you split your range. Bluffs looks good, we are targeting 1 pairs and 2 pairs. I doubt he will ever fold a straight there. Maybe if you size up slightly more
Runned in top of his range, seems fine
Sjankerd Jeff_ Do you both think if we put in a turn check raise we can peel villain off that calling range more? My turn raising range would have a lot of monsters if they are aggressive because I'd want to get all in - nut flush draw, straights, sexy combo draws and sets.
you should be x/rasing at least flash draws, no gutters likely in your range goes to x/r line, possible we can use some JT/QJ/J8 with some blockers
Maybee you can x/jam river as well, but that line would be messy. As you never know what villain value betting range on the river, it mgiht be the case that he only betting flushes and that mean you are doomed
Defently + Ev bluff once you get to the river!
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