Can I find a fold?
Posted by sauloCosta10
Posted by
sauloCosta10
posted in
Low Stakes
Can I find a fold?
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: $19.28
SB: $33.36
BB: $23.14
UTG: $12.59
MP: $22.22
CO: $16.35 (Hero)
SB: $33.36
BB: $23.14
UTG: $12.59
MP: $22.22
CO: $16.35 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.24)
Hero is CO with
K
A
, , , ,
Flop
($3.12)
A
9
Q
, , ,
Turn
($8.56)
A
9
Q
2
,
River
($14.96)
A
9
Q
2
3
,
I'm not super happy to call it off but all draws missed and he might get crazy vs my flop sizing. Villain is on the passive side though...1.5 AF, 41 WWSF over 320 hands. Call or fold?
Loading 10 Comments...
Its not the type of board where you really should cbet 1/3, hm? You should be propably polarized there, betting 50%pot+.
Its super tricky spot. I guess im calldowning at blanks vs. aggro opponent, but folding river vs. passive one? Cant figure out better options.
Unfortunetely he's there with every AQ/99, some QQ and worse thing - its not really a board that should be attacked vs. preflop raiser in 3betted pot... So i expect villain to be strong there most of the time. Given how many draws OTF, too early to fold there tho.
You can bet 1/3 pot on all board textures without loosing much EV. There are some lower more connected textures it is loosing little.
i dont like your flop cbet in this spot, because villain may have a bunch of value hands like AQ,99, sometimes QQ and AK. I think we have only 2 value streets there, that's why I prefer to keep opponent range as wide as possible.
You have top pair top kicker,i see villain calling all of his flush draws and any 1 pair type hands at least once,definitely NOT a flop check,ur just missing out on so much value if you check,especially against his dominated Ax,
It is fine to check AK OTF, but it is not for the reason Lazy mentioned. Players generally use too small bet sizes against your checks to be checking this hand at a high frequency.
If you never have a hand stronger than AT when you check back villain can bet huge on turn and river with AJ+ for value and bluff aggressively. If he does that it is higher EV to check back AK than to bet it.
Never folding here with an SPR of 5 OTF. If you are beat it sucks, but folding is a way larger mistake if you are wrong. It is not hard for villain to find bluffs either and all of them missed the river (except for 54s, but I don't have monsters under my bed. Do you? ).
With the Kc I would seriously consider a fold and would look for reads.
If you think about it from an equilibrium perspective villain should never raise for value OTF if you always fold AK here. He will win more by slowplaying his strong hands than raising them. Consider that the next time you play a nit who value bets thinly.
Vs passive I am explo folding
Tough spot, because on one hand, I don't expect guys with such WWSF to follow through OTR with his bluffs, and we can agree that he's not playing anything worse like this for value.
I think i prefer betting bigger on this texture OTF - there's a lot of draws, Villain's flop defending range is pretty inelastic imo, so I'd size it up.
I'm snap calling the R tho. His turn sizing is kinda transparent - looks like a way to draw cheaply to me - if he has AQ/99, so be it, but also keep in mind that people don't really understand these small bet sizes too well, so you might have induced something.
i think draw call flop such good price. So bet bigger flop turn and decide river..
Be the first to add a comment