call turn shove on squeezed pot with 2nd pair?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

call turn shove on squeezed pot with 2nd pair?

BB: 482.88
UTG: 400
HJ: 464.71
CO: 619.81
BN: 503.43
SB: 474.67 (Hero)
Preflop (6) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A J
UTG folds, HJ raises to 8, CO folds, BN calls 8, Hero raises to 32, BB folds, HJ calls 24, BN calls 24
so HJ is the spot of the table, 40/23, calling station type

BN is a reg, 25/20, not very much hand on him or info (1kh)

AJ is a clear spot to squeeze to value HJ
Flop (102) J 7 5 (3 Players)
Hero bets 64.02, HJ calls 64.02, BN calls 64.02
i cbet here because i want to value most of HJ range, and i don't want to see a Q/K
Turn (294.06) J 7 5 Q (3 Players)
Hero checks, HJ checks, BN bets 407.41, and is all in
i'm not really sure i got an ev+ bet vs both players, if the reg has fodled flop, i would bet quite often, but vs 2 players, quite close

so the reg on BN chosoe to make a slightly overbet shove (i got 378 left and HJ 368)

i'm quite surprised by his moove, he doesn't have a Jx for sure (except maybe QJ, but why shove and not bet 1/2-2/3, he doesnt want HJ to fold?)

so i put him a lot of combo draws on his range, he does'nt have a lot of Qx either (maybe KQs? AQs that's doesnt 3bet pre?)

i need 36% equity

http://fr.pokerstrategy.com
Tableau : Jc7s5hQh
Equity Victoire Égalité
MP2 31.82% 31.82% 0.00% { AhJs }
MP3 68.18% 68.18% 0.00% { 77, 55, KQs, QJs, T9s, 98s, KhTh, QJo }

http://fr.pokerstrategy.com
Tableau : Jc7s5hQh
Equity Victoire Égalité
MP2 38.40% 38.40% 0.00% { AhJs }
MP3 61.60% 61.60% 0.00% { 77, 55, KQs, QJs, T9s, 98s, KhTh }

thoughts?

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