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Call overbet shove?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Call overbet shove?

BN: Hero: $270.31
SB: typemike1: $217.42
BB: r@f@el: $263
UTG: x4v13er: $245.90
HJ: kettcar75: $174.28
CO: hmm.. napfig: $283.20
Villian is an aggressive reg.

There are the notes I have:

3-bets quickly in CO vs UTG, folds to 4-bet
4-bets BTN to 19 vs BB 3-bet to 8, insta-folds to jam
opens SB, bets 8/11.5 on 728ss, 3-bets to 58 over my raise to 28, insta-folds to jam
floats OOP with QKo on 575r, c/c K turn and insta-calls A river on
2/3 pot bet
big slowplay with 88 on 8559K
3-bet/folds a lot??
2-barrels KTs on 7JAs 3, checks K river
flats A3dd on BTN vs CO, calls 2-barrel on 742s 4s, checks 7s
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
x4v13er folds, kettcar75 folds, hmm.. napfig folds, Hero raises to $5, typemike1 folds, r@f@el raises to $18, Hero raises to $37, r@f@el calls $19
Planning to get it in with AK. Not super happy about it, but it's a BTN vs BB spot versus an aggressive reg.
Flop ($82.00) J 7 7 (2 Players)
r@f@el checks, Hero checks
Most of the hands that fold are dominated by me anyway, and I really don't want to get check-raised. Hoping to get to showdown.
Turn ($82.00) J 7 7 3 (2 Players)
r@f@el bets $38, Hero calls $38
Now he bets the turn. I expect him to bet Jx and his PPs, any gutshot and diamond/spade draw.
River ($158.00) J 7 7 3 2 (2 Players)
r@f@el bets $188, and is all in
At first I thought, easy fold, but it doesn't really make sense.
He's repping only the diamond draw and maybe A7, since he would get in JJ pre-flop for sure.
We block A7 and we have the second nut diamond.

If you were in his shoes, what would you overbet with? I don't see him doing this with AJ or even QQ,
Since my range is fairly capped after my check and call line, I think he will attack here very hard.

I think this is a call because there is simply no hand he'd bet for value like this that's reasonable, and we block them all.

Thoughts?

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