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c bet or not c bet ?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

c bet or not c bet ?

SB: 5
BB: 2.54
HJ: 4.24
CO: 5.94
BN: 10.98 (Hero)
Preflop (0.07) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt K 8
HJ folds, CO raises to 0.25, Hero raises to 0.75, SB folds, BB folds, CO calls 0.50
Flop (1.57) A A 3 (2 Players)
c bet or not c bet ?
CO 31/25 and 59% fold to cbet

8 Comments

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Learn2FoldEm 12 years ago
what is the sample size for your stats because a 59% fold to cbet is very high? With the given stats, it is an easy cbet. Just take down your equity on the flop because 59% is much greater than the 33%-45% B/E threshold of a cbet. I don't see checking back as a better line at all, because check back/fold turn is EV neutral and I'm not sure calling is more profitable than your cbet. I would consider checking back if his fold to cbet was like 30%, and had a healthy c/r range.
StuZero 12 years ago
I would check through and play the turn. He plays a lot of Ax and will almost always check to you on the flop (they always do as they feel you will only continue with an ace).. He wont fold a PP here so your just betting to take out hands you beat.
Sauce123 12 years ago
fold preflop. now that you're here, cbet always.
Sauce123 12 years ago
don't worry about barreling turns, just try to barrel occasionally when you suspect he might be weak. you can get into trouble barreling every turn, or very few turns, but as long as you throw out a barrel sometimes you'll be fine. the short answer is that barreling turns isn't likely to add much value to your strat, but missing the flop cbet is likely to cost you a lot.
Beau 12 years ago
aside from folding pre flop lol i would definitely just check. there are very few hands he is going to raise 5x pre and fold on a AA3 flop. I would check this flop and if he checks again on the turn then I would fire, also depending on the size of his turn bet (if he chooses to bet) I would consider a check raise because I think that's how you would play a hand like A10

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