bottom set river trouble 10NL

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

bottom set river trouble 10NL

CO: $13.63
BN: $10.23
SB: $10.05
BB: $5
HJ: $19.04 (Hero)
CO: 73/22/11 CB: 92 F2CB: 50 WTSD:36 (125 hands)
Preflop ($0.15) (4 Players)
Hero was dealt 6 6
CO raises to $0.20, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $0.10
Flop ($0.45) J 6 7 (2 Players)
Hero bets $0.33, CO calls $0.33
He seemed fairly aggressive, that's why I prefered leading out. If I just check, I should raise really big against this type of player.

I gave You his F2CB stats because I saw him flat a pure gutshot out of position 2 streets...
Turn ($1.11) K (2 Players)
Hero bets $0.83, CO calls $0.83
Kx is definitely a good card for his range, I bombed again. Maybe betting potsize could be better to maximize my winrate on the long-run.
River ($2.77) 7 (2 Players)
Hero bets $2.12, CO raises to $9.13, Hero calls $7.01

JJ ; KK ; J7 ; K7 ; 77 beat us. ( I don't know the method I can calculate how much comboes are these )

I exclude JJ ; KK and 77, because He's too aggresive to just flat my lead, and just call down again on the turn on this texture. Then If We are facing J7s or K7/K7s or it's an overrated 2pair, a slowplayed AA, or a busted draw.

Subsequently I think this is a +EV call because of those really few hands are beat us and Villain's pretty active image.

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