Bottom set in 3bet pot OOP, pretty gross turn though.
Posted by Hoothoot
Posted by
Hoothoot
posted in
Low Stakes
Bottom set in 3bet pot OOP, pretty gross turn though.
BN: $22.92
SB: $39.15
BB: $43.38 (Hero)
UTG: $14.14
HJ: $67.27
CO: $29.57
SB: $39.15
BB: $43.38 (Hero)
UTG: $14.14
HJ: $67.27
CO: $29.57
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
7
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BN calls $1.75
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BN calls $1.75
Flop
($5.35)
T
7
A
(2 Players)
Hero bets $4,
BN calls $4
Turn
($13.35)
T
7
A
Q
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $16.42, and is all in
No stats, but judging by his stack size I think villain is probably a fish. This is obv a huge bet to call, and I need to be good > 50% of the time to make it a profitable call. I don't really see villain showing up with KJ here very often, so I'd say his value hands are usually flushes, and sometimes AQo and AKo with 1 diamond, rarely AT. However given that the Qd and Td are out there, that actually limits a fair number of flush combos that he can show up with. I'd normally expect AKs to 4bet pre (and AKo for that matter, but then again fish by definition do stupid things often), so that weights the possibilities toward AdJd and KdJd for flush hands. Sure he can have stuff like Jd9d etc, but I think I can discount hands like that to some degree cause I'm against his 3bet calling range which should be narrower in theory. I wouldn't put it past villain to pull a crazy bluff or semi-bluff here given that I've shown that I hate this turn, but still bluffs are always less likely with massive bets.
Also, if the best action here, as played, is to call, should I have b/called instead? I suppose the argument for b/c is that hands like AK and AQ will often check back this turn and get a free card, and I'll miss value.
Loading 9 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.