bluffing in a b/b/b line vs a nitfish
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by MatoStar posted in Low Stakes
bluffing in a b/b/b line vs a nitfish
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (7 Players)
MP: $25.00
CO: $21.20
BN: $25.00 (Hero)
SB: $25.10
BB: $25.00
UTG: $29.67
UTG+1: $17.27
CO: $21.20
BN: $25.00 (Hero)
SB: $25.10
BB: $25.00
UTG: $29.67
UTG+1: $17.27
25/6 101
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
5
6
, , , , ,
Flop
($2.35)
Q
4
A
, ,
Turn
($3.83)
Q
4
A
2
, ,
River
($9.33)
Q
4
A
2
9
,
12.78$ left.
Throwing balance out of the window for now: We need to fold out some Ax in order to have a +ev bluff (A3s and A5s).
Throwing balance out of the window for now: We need to fold out some Ax in order to have a +ev bluff (A3s and A5s).
K,Q,J,T,4,2 are the worst rivers in terms of fold equity. Those I wouldnt fire even if this combo is the bottom of my range. Other river cards are interesting, we need to fold out few of his Ax. In theory, its a pure bet I guess, but my question is: are you interested in testing his weaker Ax?
My intuition says, yes, on rivers like this, I like to bet vs this player profile. We are repping really strong and once we see a light call down by him, we can switch to full explo strategy (literally without river bluffs). However, by then I think its a bit assumptive to play with almost zero bluffs. Especially on this runout where QQ,AA,AQ are usually raised pre by him and other twopairs+ might potentially fastplay
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