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Bluffing double paired board in 3 bet pot.

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Bluffing double paired board in 3 bet pot.

BN: $452.20
SB: $572.10
BB: $462.45
UTG: $263.40
HJ: $449.30
CO: $859.20
Preflop ($6.00) (6 Players)
UTG calls $4, HJ folds, CO raises to $16, BN raises to $40, SB folds, BB calls $36, UTG folds, CO calls $24
Flop ($126.00) Q J Q (3 Players)
BB checks, CO checks, BN checks
Turn ($126.00) 5 (3 Players)
BB bets $66, CO calls $66, BN calls $66
River ($324.00) 5 (3 Players)
BB checks
Villain in the bb is a reasonable taggy dude. I don t have any relevant reads on him for this spot. I have to risk 355 to win 325 here and I don t think any one can call without a Q but maybe I can t rep one. Basically is bb checking a Q here to trap me ever? Kind of a weird turn bet if he had a Q. I d assume that btn basically never has a Q here.

4 Comments

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tehduper 12 years, 2 months ago
I think your assumptions about btn is pretty dangerous here. With these SPR's he can very easily check back the flop with a Q.
WM2K 12 years, 2 months ago
Ya but would he overcall with a Q OTT to? Seems like ya maybe its possible he has a Q but way more likely he lets the cat out of the bag at some point b4 river. My main concern is the BB and whether or not I can have a Q here myself. I got a psb here and as long as I am truthfully playing my Qx hands like this too I should have a bluff or 2 and I don t get here with that much air. Idk its a weird spot.
2blave 12 years, 2 months ago
I think raising the turn with a Q is an overplay in BTN's shoes. Generally he will either be nutted or fear not getting action from anything but the nuts if he raises. There aren't really any scare cards on this board either. I think he is pretty likely to have Qx given his line, and not too much else, but he might fold actually fold KQ here if you jam. Maybe AQ too? You can certainly represent a lot of strength. I think a fair assumption for BTN's range is AQ, KQ, QJs, JJ, and maybe AdKd depending how ambitious of a turn caller he is. Reads on BTN would help.

I don't really ever coldcall in BB's situation so it's harder for me to guess his range, but AQ, KQs, JJ are the most likely possibilities to me. Again AdKd and AhKh might show up in his range as well. If they both fold AQ then a bluff is profitable for you, but I think that too often one of them will just be unable to lay it down. They will both think about having trips in a big pot and how even a few bluff combos from you justifies a call.

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