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Bluffcatching QQ on K high board Squeeze pot

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Bluffcatching QQ on K high board Squeeze pot

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $32.56
SB: $4.73
BB: $26.35 (Hero)
UTG: $33.45
MP: $30.70
CO: $37.28
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with Q Q
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3.25, MP folds, CO calls $2.50
Flop ($7.35) 2 5 5
Hero bets $2.50, CO calls $2.50
Turn ($12.35) 2 5 5 K
Hero checks, CO bets $4.36, Hero calls $4.36
River ($21.07) 2 5 5 K 9
Hero checks, CO bets $19.51, Hero

Villain is a reg capable of bluffing rivers. Flop and turn are somewhat standard. Im betting range OTF and OTT I will check QQ, JJ, KK and probably some AA. Betting the other half of my AA, AK and KQs, along with some heart draws. I think his range is so narrow OTR that I cant be folding. When I block two QQ he only has 3 combos of 99 and 1 combo of KQs (KQdd), which he might even fold OTF without the BDFD. KJs he probably folds pre or checks back river. So if he has like 2 combos of random bluffs I can call, which could be missed hearts and maybe he turns some weak pocket pairs into a bluff, like 88 and 77. Thoughts?

17 Comments

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Wang-Hao 8 years, 8 months ago

I think that villian being IP can found some flats with some broadways as KJs,QJs,KQs and QQ+ sometimes, I dont understand why the small size OTF, I guess its for deny equity to some backdoors ,but I think that maybe missed value if you think you are ahead.

OTT , you check call QQ, JJ, KK and probably some AA, but why?

If you can confidently check call against his betting range, a Q OTR shouldnt be a problem, but what about any other card?

So if you think he has enough bluffs and FD OTT, which cards are you bluffcatching and which one folding to different sizes? (I think also may be a good option to raise OTT if you assume this =))

If the previous assumption is correct, I find a call there as his range is so narrow and capable of doing that, but for my experience on those stakes you should have a solid read on the villian aggresion on diferent runouts and its river play , to make a call.

Greetings.

Tom Willetts 8 years, 8 months ago

I would bet the turn, like you say he doesn't have Kx very often and hands like 66-TT will likely check back right?

I would think we only check because we think his betting range is much wider than his calling range, so this must include a lot of random floats?

If that's the case he has a lot of air on the river so I'm calling. Not loving it as he could play AK or A5s like this too sometimes.

elbabbelino 8 years, 8 months ago

I play this exactly the same, a good amount of the time. I see some merits too in betting turn again, so I wouldnt always check it.

OTR I would not expect villain to have 99 almost ever. For me QQ is an amazing bluf catcher here. Villains value is very Kx heavy and KQ is the most likely of those.

mildmanneredjanitor 8 years, 8 months ago

V just calling the initial raise and then your re-raise really caps his range to middling pairs and strong suited broadways imo. The king might look scary but i think you need to fire a second barrel. River is a shame but AP nothing you could do but to call it off.

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