Bluff his bluff?
Posted by Pat Blye
Posted by Pat Blye posted in Mid Stakes
Bluff his bluff?
HJ: $436.10
CO: $200
BN: $380.75 (Hero)
SB: $160.80
BB: $222.70
UTG: $241.35
CO: $200
BN: $380.75 (Hero)
SB: $160.80
BB: $222.70
UTG: $241.35
The OR is a 19/17/7 taggy reg (CO open is 38% over 500 hand sample), and the BB is 25/19/4 who might be a reg but I'm not sure. My stats should look quite standard reggy to these guys (23/20/8).
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
T
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $5, Hero calls $5, SB folds, BB calls $3
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $5, Hero calls $5, SB folds, BB calls $3
Pre is kinda close- my default being 3bet- but small blind was a fish, BB hadn't shown to be crazy squeezy, and the OR had a 38% 4b so I called.
Flop
($16.00)
3
8
9
(3 Players)
BB checks,
CO checks,
Hero bets $12,
BB raises to $32,
CO folds,
Hero calls $20
I think taking a shot at this flop is mandatory with the gutter/overs/bdfd, and then the BB check raises which is curious. I feel like this flop hits my range harder than his, as I figured his big blind peeling range is decently wide (albeit probably not J5s wide but suited 3 gaps prob).
His check raise could be a few things with top two and most sets being in there (99 maybe squeezes pre considering OR opens something like 38% from the CO-but that supposes villain has these stats too), but this seems like a decent spot for him to bluff considering I'm probably betting a bunch of hands and the OR is cf this flop often. I thought he could have some semi-bluff midpairs, straight draws or just whiffed overs (unlikely but possible). I called with the intention to turn something-spades are good, turning top pair or the nuts would work. It's possible he has decent top pairs K9s, J9s, Q9s, A9, T9 also.
His check raise could be a few things with top two and most sets being in there (99 maybe squeezes pre considering OR opens something like 38% from the CO-but that supposes villain has these stats too), but this seems like a decent spot for him to bluff considering I'm probably betting a bunch of hands and the OR is cf this flop often. I thought he could have some semi-bluff midpairs, straight draws or just whiffed overs (unlikely but possible). I called with the intention to turn something-spades are good, turning top pair or the nuts would work. It's possible he has decent top pairs K9s, J9s, Q9s, A9, T9 also.
Turn
($80.00)
3
8
9
6
(2 Players)
BB bets $35,
Hero raises to $343.75, and is all in
Thoughts?
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