Bluff catching in huge 3b pot

Posted by SAULGOODMAN

Posted by SAULGOODMAN posted in Low Stakes

Posted 10 years, 2 months ago

Bluff catching in huge 3b pot

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $36.98
SB: $53.83 (Hero)
BB: $16.00
UTG: $15.92
MP: $19.60
CO: $8.70

Preflop ($0.24) Hero is SB with Q Q

UTG raises to $0.48, MP calls $0.48, CO folds, BN calls $0.48, Hero raises to $2.64, BB folds, UTG folds, MP calls $2.16, BN calls $2.16

Flop ($8.56) 7 J 5

Hero bets $3.92, MP folds, BN calls $3.92

Turn ($16.40) 7 J 5 K

Hero checks, BN bets $6.88, Hero calls $6.88

River ($30.16) 7 J 5 K K

Hero checks, BN bets $23.54 and is all in

Hand from Zoom table. Villain is 21/18 over 100 hands. 4.8% 3bet (all 3bets from blinds, hasn't 3bet IP once) agg% by street 40/22/60 and other stats indicate he's a pretty bad TAG.

3bet pf seems standard? Bet sizing on flop bad/good/meh?

Thanks for any input..

5 Comments

Loading 5 Comments...

antihero 10 years, 2 months ago

Those NL16 bet sizes are super confusing to me but I think you can go a bit bigger pre (around 3) :D

Flop sizing is okay imo, flop is pretty dry.

On the river I think you have an easy fold. JJ/77/55/KJs are all in his range. He barely has any bluffs anyways (maybe T9s) or he would have to turn a hand like 88 into a bluff which is highly unlikely. He's not gonna mess with you a lot if he's a bad reg. Also it's 3way to the flop which should make him play more honestly (in theory).

Knoxox 10 years, 2 months ago

River is an easy fold. The turn is close. I would probably fold because this sizing is almost always value and he can't have that many bluffs + he's also never valubetting worse on this turn as the K should hit your range.