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blind on blind gross spot 50nl

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blind on blind gross spot 50nl

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (8 Players) MP+1: $199.05
CO: $20.50
BN: $43.70
SB: $50.00
BB: $54.80 (Hero)
UTG: $55.15
UTG+1: $53.25
MP: $70.70
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BB with 8 K
6 folds, SB raises to $1.00, Hero calls $0.50
Sb is super nit playing 14 9 1 with a CB of 42 over 2k sample.

Pre is standard.
Flop ($2.00) 2 8 K
SB bets $2.00, Hero raises to $5.25, SB calls $3.25
On flop when he pots I think he has something as he rarely puts money in without.

Standard we raise for value? When he calls I'm thinking AK/KQ/KJ/K10 maybe QQ/A8, possibly 22 to trap, obv KK 88 possible too but not likely.
Turn ($12.50) 2 8 K 9
SB checks, Hero bets $7.50, SB raises to $43.75 and is all in, Hero calls $36.25
Good card for us I think.

I bet for value and he just check jams it all in????

So gross. We have the Ks which blocks some of his pair plus FD combos which is obv not good for us.

Are people folding here - blind v blind this is just get it in right? Against 80% of players easy call (I think) but vs super nit?

I Tank and call.
River ($100.00) 2 8 K 9 4

9 Comments

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Samu Patronen 10 years, 1 month ago

Damn, what a spot. I think folding is the best play. His sizing is big and he really represents only 22/88, I can't find any possible bluffing hands.

I assume he had 22/88? :P

All-inDrawingDead 10 years, 1 month ago

Steal from SB? Agg post?Fold to raise cbet? If he's not really passive and he can plays like this also AA, obviously is happy call because (considerating value only) we play to 47.5% against KK+,88,22. Against also K9 we are 32% (edit : i have seen now his cbet %, then we can exclude almost always K9 specially because i think he fold really often on raise if he cbet it)

sauloCosta10 10 years, 1 month ago

Since we block 88 and he can play AK (probably not but whatever) and AA like this, I think I would call...but it's not the happiest call of my life. You should run the math

dkill37 10 years, 1 month ago

Tough one, need to call $36.25 to win 100, so you need to be good a little more than a third of the time here. So even with a pure value range, KK, AA, 22, AKs, and AKo, you still have almost 38% equity, so I think it's a close call.

ohgodwhy 10 years, 1 month ago

Yeah, pretty easy turn fold for me. I also would just call the flop a) because he likely doesn't call of 3 streets vs a c/r with AA, AK anyway and because your c/c range becomes very weak.

Michael Skitmore 10 years, 1 month ago

thanks guys, seems a split on call or fold, which has vindicated my decision to tank and i'm happy my call doesnt seem a "clear mistake".

He had K9 - puke :)

Chael Sonnen 10 years, 1 month ago

Call, as he can easily have a worse hand for value (AA, AK).
I'd usually call flop though, especially against a potting nit. You're not doing great by the river against his calldown range, so I'd rather protect my calling range and get money in later, on favourable runouts.

Chael Sonnen 10 years, 1 month ago

Call, as he can easily have a worse hand for value (AA, AK).
I'd usually call flop though, especially against a potting nit. You're not doing great by the river against his calldown range, so I'd rather protect my calling range and get money in later, on favourable runouts.

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