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Bet and call or bet and fold? 100nl

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Bet and call or bet and fold? 100nl

http://weaktight.com/5923424

Villains opening 31% from this position and plays 29/19 overall. No 4 bet either yet.

Postflop he seems to be less aggressive then average. OTT I feel its a pretty clear bet but once he raises is it a call or a fold? I think you can argue this is a better call then JJ or QQ and MMMAAAYYYBE KK (blocks TT).


7 Comments

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R0b5ter 11 years, 9 months ago

I'd say fold. One question how many hands do you have on him? Get the feeling it's not that many? Also he's kind of looking a bit fishy. Your hand blocks TT but I think he could have JJ, QQ or even maybe KK in which case having those hands actually blocks them so not sure it's a better call with AT than those.

Chael Sonnen 11 years, 9 months ago

my default play would definitely be to flat this to a 3x CO open, but 3-betting is not bad.

I'd fold here for sure, and your reads only want to make me do it more.

No combo draws, and sets and two pair are easily in his range. I also think he has a slowplayed JJ/QQ a decent amount.

Unless he shoves some kind of weird pair+gutshot like T9, you're way behind, and even the hands you beat have decent equity.


RaoulFlush 11 years, 9 months ago

+1 on flattin gpreflop...this spot would play way better in SRP i guess...as played i would fold turn, too for already pointed out reasons

WM2K 11 years, 9 months ago

Ya ok. Not a fan of flatting pre but idk probably ok. I try to flat as little as possible in the SB.

Say we have not so great postflop reads on villain but he s still playing ~30% in CO. Do we stack off then?

TheLove_Below 11 years, 9 months ago

i like the 3-bet with ATs in general, since Most LP opening ranges are wide, such as SC,and broadways, where your still charging value by 3-betting a hand like ATs, where u dominate a moajority of villains broadway/ weak AX hand ranges. 

Default: Bet/Bet/Check 

             Bet/Check/Bet depending on how the board texture changes

On the turn im barreling 80%+ for value. Villain has such a polarized range, since the its a rainbow board. 

Basically what bluff is villain repping? with hands like 66,77,44,89s, in his 3-bet flatting range, i think this is more likely a fold. If villain is capable of jamming in hands like TQ,TJ,9T, then its a call, but in lowstakes player pool, its more likely we're facing a more polarized turn jamming range

PGalfondFollower 11 years, 9 months ago

Agree with the pre 3bet due to his high open frequency @CO.

Agree with the above comments about turn fold, as most ppl's turn shoves are way too unbalanced and value hands biased. For any value shove, AT is in terrible shape.

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