BB vs Bu triple barrel -defend with top pair weak kicker
Posted by Treysix
Posted by Treysix posted in Low Stakes
BB vs Bu triple barrel -defend with top pair weak kicker
SB: $11.31
BB: $21.58 (Hero)
UTG: $37.01
MP: $22.53
CO: $7.76
BB wins and shows a pair of Kings.
BB wins $8.63
Rake is $0.41
Villain: 26/20, BU open 59%, cbet F/T/R - 40/57/67 -325 hands
Hey guys, how would you play this spot? I mean flop and turn is clear call with my hand given the positions etc
Shall we def on the river tho? According to MDF I should defend with this hand but equity wise it's pretty close and I should only call if villain bluffs accordingly ...we need 29% equity and vs this range: KK+,4d4h,4d4s,4h4s,2h2s,2h2c,2s2c,AKs,KJs+,AcQc,AcJc,QcJc,AcTc,QcTc,JcTc,Ac9c,Qc9c,Jc9c,Tc9c,Kh8h,Kh7h,Ac6c,Qc6c,Jc6c,Tc6c,9c6c,8c6c,Qc5c,6d5d,6c5c,Kh4h,Ks4s,Qc3c,Kh2h,Ks2s,Qc2c,AKo,KJo+
I should have smth. like 29,6% equity, not calculating with rake. Villain has to bluff 29% - his value range is 45 combos, therefore he should bluff with ca 18 combos. He must bluff with any busted FD or turn some small pairs etc to bluff so he bluffs enough, It's quite hard for him to have enough bluffs as turn and river gives many of his bluff combos a pair or better.
I guess it's better to call KJ+ where we have clearly enough equity to make a call...
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