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BB vs BU deep analysis

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BB vs BU deep analysis

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BB: $17.06 (Hero)
UTG: $20.76
MP: $12.14
CO: $16.72
BN: $10.00
SB: $8.78
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BB with A 5
3 folds, BN raises to $0.20, SB folds, Hero calls $0.10
Flop ($0.45) 4 6 7
Hero checks, BN bets $0.29, Hero raises to $0.90, BN calls $0.61
Turn ($2.25) 4 6 7 A
Hero bets $1.48, BN calls $1.48
River ($5.21) 4 6 7 A A
Hero checks, BN checks

Hello, I'm trying to get my postflop game better and looking for ways how to properly do hand reviews, trying to look for things to improve, if you could take a look at this hand analysis and point any mistakes/things I could do better I would be very grateful.

BU is a reg, I have quite a good 500h sample on him, few stats to consider:
BU open: 38% Nothing really out of the ordinary.
cbet flop: 86% Taking this into account hands, I would defend a little bit more of my range here and try to play turns, I can also change some of my worst hands into c/r bluffs as that could be profitable.

Range he opens with:

Not that its super important to put him on an exact range or during play I have time to think 'ok this is his range'. But i Like to check how cartain % of ranges might look like and how they can connect with flops.

My defense on the BB vs BU open:

Now this needs a little bit of explanation.
This range is used against BU opens when I don't have any stats on villain or I do and his stats look 'normal', like he doesn't open too much or too little.
Red hands are raised for value.
Yellow is calling range.
Blue range is bluff range when villains range is a little bit on the tighter side and/or he's using a large sizing so I'm getting worse odds, so I don't have to call so much. If villain has 'standard' open range and he uses 2x open, blue range is going into calling range.
Green range is a bluff raise when villain isn't a nit on the BU, he opens with low sizing etc. Otherwise I fold hands in this range.

Still working on this range so any advice here would be great!

So as we see here villain is opening 2x, he opens 28% so my calling range will consist of the yellow hands and blue ones, red and green being played as a raise.

my range here:

I check my whole range when i call on the BB, I get cbet to and now I have a decision to make. I'm quite sure I know what to do with my hand here, but I would like to see how my whole range here and what I would do with all my holdings.

First thing to consider is the MDF, against this sizing i have to defend 60%, but I'm at range disadvantage on this flop and materials I studied teach that you I can defend less than that and that will not be a big mistake.

How much less?

I thought about just choosing the number 10 and deciding to defend 10% less when I'm at a range disadvantage, so I will defend 50% here, any thoughts on that?

So I have 392 combos here and I will defend 50% of them. I'll c/r my strongest hands like sets, 2p and y strongest draws, call with draws, bluff raise with some of my weak draws, lets see how the range looks like:

Red- value
blue - bluff
yellow - check/call
green - fold

So when he bets the flop My plan is this:
I raise my 2p, sets and combo draws for value(nut flush+oesd, also I added Kd5d as i think 2nd nutflush+oesd will be good enough too). Was thinking about adding Qd5d too but it was borderline for me so i've put it in calling range instead.

I'll balance it with some of my weakest draws, 32 in hearts and diamonds, overcards with flushdraws/backdoor flushdraws and JTo with no diamond in it for bdfd, overcards and runner runner straight. But probably Ad8x would be a better candidate with bd flushdraw and gutter.

On the turn my range will look like this:

I would basically bet almost all of my range here, a big chunk of my range are hands like sets and 2p and really strong draws so i would balance it with betting most of my bluffs too.

A9 checks and calls to play some rivers, but thats only 2 combos, so my range here is supper narrow, should I put any hands so I have more options on the river?

I would give up JT at this point.

River after I bet:

On the river, I would be betting my sets, changing my 2p into a bluff would make sense because i wouldn't be blocking any of his busted draws, and some KJ, QJ hands, just to block some of the Ax hands that might have called preflop, but at the same time I block the flushdraws here, so they are not the perfect hands to bluff with, but just because they are blocking Ax hands and I don't have any other better hands to bluff with so i choose them.

A5, A9 is checking back and probably calling to bluffcatch, problem with that its only 3 combos and i'm check folding 18 combos.

So at this stage I'm not really all that balanced on the river here.

Maybe I should be looking into checking some of my sets here, because I cannot find good enough bluffs to balance them out in my range, and at the same time I wouldn't be overfolding so much when checking.

Let me know what you think about this analysis, also it would be great if someone could point me to any materials that teach how to efficiently do hand reviews to improve my poker game.

I'll probably post another analysis of this hand where I call the flop and see how that works.

4 Comments

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Jeff_ 7 years, 3 months ago

Too good analysis, and too big post.
Hand is well played and don't be concerned about over folding river. Dont need to think GTO while playing micro/low. As well as villian invest much money, so it is not scenario where he can exploit that leak (overfolding)

fii 7 years, 2 months ago

Great job!
Construct villian range on flop, turn and river (imo it to be at first).
Again u did a great job!

HellSpawn 7 years, 2 months ago

Hey there,

Great analysis, however when I looked at the hand played I thought you miss value on the river. I think you should bet between 3/4 and pot there with Ad5d, not narrowing you bluff range, but widening your value range.

My reason (could be utterly wrong tho): The board bricks of the river, your you could have the two types of flush draws, the two flushdraws with straight draws, two flushdraws with high cards.

I played a little in Equilator, I gave him this range what he might have on the river against your river bet:

6d6s,6d6c,A8s-A7s,A5s,75s+,64s+,54s,Kh7h,Qh7h,Jh7h,Th7h,9h7h,8h7h,A7o,A5o,76o,Kd7h,Kh7d,Qd7h,Qh7d,8d7h,8h7d

Here is your x/r bet bet range:

77-66,44,A8s,QdTd,QhTh,JdTd,JhTh,Ad9d,Qd9d,Qh9h,Jd9d,Jh9h,Td9d,Th9h,Kd8d,Kh8h,Qd8d,Qh8h,Jd8d,Jh8h,Td8d,Th8h,9d8d,9h8h,Ad6d,Ad5d,Kd5d,Qd5d,8h5h,8s5s,8c5c,Ad3d,Ad2d,5h2h,Ad8h,Ad8s,Ad8c,Ad6s,9d8h,9d8s,9h8d

I 've put some lower flushdraws to x/r with even though you could call, since the bouard hits a BB range nicely, and you don't want to be capped, do you ? :)

So what happens if your opponent faces a river potbet with 8h7h against your range?

4d6h7dAhAs

MP2 48.72% 48.72% 0.00% { 77-66, 44, A8s, QdTd, QhTh, JdTd, JhTh, Ad9d, Qd9d, Qh9h, Jd9d, Jh9h, Td9d, Th9h, Kd8d, Kh8h, Qd8d, Qh8h, Jd8d, Jh8h, Td8d, Th8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, Ad6d, Ad5d, Kd5d, Qd5d, 8h5h, 8s5s, 8c5c, Ad3d, Ad2d, 5h2h, Ad8h, Ad8s, Ad8c, Ad6s, 9d8h, 9d8s, 9h8d }
MP3 51.28% 51.28% 0.00% { 8h7h }

I think he needs to call (unless your river afq is below 20, your won at SD is 55+ and so)

Same thing with 64s, you can play with it too.

One more note: If you bet huge on this brick he might get into it and think you want him to fold thats why the huge bet.

Cheers

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