Barrel KQ? 100nl
Posted by WM2K
Posted by
WM2K
posted in
Low Stakes
Barrel KQ? 100nl
WM2K raises to $3, UTG+1 calls $3, 4 folds Flop ($7.50, 2 players) 
WM2K bets $5, UTG+1 calls $5 Turn ($17.50, 2 players)
WM2K ($92)?40 hands on villain and he s playing 20/14 so far. Do we barrel this and do we fire again OTR.
Some short analysis. I gave villain a range of (AxQx-AxTx,KxQx,QxJx,JJ,JxTx,TT)@100,(AA-QQ,AxKx,AxKy)@50 for the turn. OTT he has j,t,qq,kk,aa ~60% of the time when he has that range and we have ~10% when called. I stuck it into a FE calculator and its +ev to bet 13$ if my assumptions are true. OTR if we get called I think it ll be dangerous to bet more then 1/2 pot as he ll only have a bare J maybe 30% of the time and trying to get an OP to fold is dubious.
What do you think?
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