Auto profit spots against players who fold too much
Posted by tbeckett
Posted by
tbeckett
posted in
Low Stakes
Auto profit spots against players who fold too much
I was reading an article on auto profit spots. And it said to find autoprofit spots you need to work out the required fold equity and then compare it to how much your opponent is actually folding.
Requied fold equity for my bet:
Bet size / (Bet size + Pot size)
How much my opponent is actually folding:
Actual fold equity = #Fold / #Total
If the "actual fold equity" is above my "required fold equity" it's an autoprofit spot. Which means I can bet any two cards and make money.
I just wanted to make sure I understood the underlying theory correctly. When it says I can bet any two cards. It's because I can take any hand put it in a spot and when I run it against my opponent's entire range he's folding enough for me to profit.
So lets say my opponent has 120 hands in his range, I can take 72o, put it in a spot and then I run that spot 120times (every hand in my opponents range) and if he folds the required amount I auto profit. Thien this can be done with any two cards in my range.
Loading 3 Comments...
That is correct.
Let's say you bet potsize, and the pot is 1. So after your bet the pot is 2 and it is now on the opponent to continue or fold.
If your opponent folds 50% off the time then you get 50% off that 2 in the pot. So you get 1. You bet 1 so it becomes 1 - 1 or 0. Your opponent calls the correct amount, namely 50%.
If your opponent folds 75% off the time then you get 75% off that 2. So 1.5. You only risked 1. So you make a profit off 0.5.
But you need to be careful with just going insane with this and start playing 72o to get that spot. Because he will still call sometimes. And notice you have 72o. And then he will call you more often. So by you abusing this very wide your opponent will auto adjust in a way.
If you don't think you'll ever play with that player again. Then you go wild and always abuse it. This is common at lower stakes where the player pools are bigger.
If you think you will play this person over a long period or often, such as homegames, regular tables at middling and higher stakes, ... . Then you want to do this not as often. And only make small adjustments.
I think Xing Yang has a video on this.
Yeah that makes sense. Once they see me playing 72o they will adjust. Thanks for your comment.
You could play ann tables and go ham ;D
Be the first to add a comment