aqo utg vs bt 3b
Posted by Riqu93
Posted by
Riqu93
posted in
Low Stakes
aqo utg vs bt 3b
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $26.22
SB: $30.16
BB: $25.55
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
MP: $33.28
CO: $18.69
SB: $30.16
BB: $25.55
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
MP: $33.28
CO: $18.69
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is UTG with
A
Q
, , , ,
Flop
($5.55)
7
9
Q
, ,
Turn
($13.05)
7
9
Q
2
, ,
River
($27.55)
7
9
Q
2
4
, ,
opp unknown
Loading 6 Comments...
Readless I'm folding river
I think folding is pretty bad. All draws miss and we are at the top of our range. We also hold blockers to AA and don't have a heart in our hand wich is good. AKh or Axh can take this line and I almost never expect sets in villains range.
Our calling range isn't going to be just sets here.
We risk $11.40 to win $27.55 on river so we need to be good at least 42% for B/E call.
It's not pretty bad. There aren't that many draws and we're defenitely not at the top of our range - we have QQ/KK (4b/gii isn't massively +EV anyway, so we might as well just call), occasional 99.
Also, your math is incorrect - we risk 11.4 to win (27.55 + 2*11.4) = 11.4/50.35 = 22.6%
To make our call b/e.
If we put him on QQ+ as value jams (10 combos), we need ~3 bluff combos to make the call, so I'd say it's a b/e call at best vs 25nl unk (they're fairly nitty / don't triple often enough, let alone 3b pots vs UTG on a board that's good for our range).
So yeah, that said, I would fold R, I just wouldn't be able to force myself to let it go OTT - but yeah, that's my inner station speaking. :D
Imo is 4bet fold pf.
Fold pf, 4b if you wanna get fancy.
As played fold ott
Oh, and if anyone wanted to know how to figure out how many value to bluff combos we need him to have to make a call given certain pot odds - Tyler posted a formula here some time ago:
Bluff combos required = V[(1/1-a) - 1]
V - number of value combos
a - pot odds we're given
So, in this case:
Bluff combos required = 10[ (1/1-22.6) - 1 ] = 10* [(1/0.774) - 1] = 12.92 - 10 = 2.92 (~3)
Be the first to add a comment