AQo sqz pot v x/r flop
Posted by maco
Posted by
maco
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AQo sqz pot v x/r flop
Utg is a reg, Co is a fish. Preflop and flop cbet is standard, but when he x/r I'm confused, he shoves ott. I see a lot of regs raising in spots where they dont really have the range adv. I dont see a lot of 6x in his range. His range in my eyes when he calls the sqz looks something like 77-JJ (maybe calling all the pairs with the fish in the pot, not sure), AJs-AQs, AKo,KQs. Whats the play here? Unblocking some flushes is good.
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Obviously few hands beat you. He isnt supposed to have 6x in his range. But once you bet call that flop he needs to be really agro to continue bluffing.
I looked at it in PIO with several different calling ranges for him pre. The sim where I included a combo of AA/KK as a trap and a smattering of AK, PIO mixes ripping flop and calling flop. If those combos are not in his range and he is still raising flop, I would for sure rip flop. A reg knows that you will pretty much be range betting here and might apply pressure with equity driven bluffs/worse value even if it is not solver approved (solver doesn't raise here much at all).
I feel confident that jamming flop is going to be best here. I used a range similar to what you described. 77-JJ, some QQ, a bit of AA/KK, AQs-AJs, half of his ATs combos, KQs, KJs, QJs, JTs and a few mixed lower SC's. AQo is his worst Axo hand I would imagine.
You mean 3betting the flop? Isn't this way ahead / way behind?
This is my logic. If he has 65s or 76s here, he has a bunch of SC's in his range that have pretty sick equity against us. If he has A6s here ever, he has A7s/A8s/A9s/ATs/AJs, not saying he raises all of them but I have certainly seen AJs/ATs. Of course he has some AQ. If he has 66 here, he has 77/88/99/TT/JJ/QQ here. I am not saying he raises all of them but some will put pressure on your range bet and they also can be confident when they catch up with their 2 outs. I think he can easily have KQss, KJss, QJss, TJss.
So, the pot is pretty massive, he has dominated pairs in his range, he has some dangerous draws and he has underpairs that can catch up when he play it slow on flop. Not saying calling is bad, but like jamming the AQo combos with no spade. With AxQx, we block flush completion and also block a few combos in his bluffing range (likely making his range stronger here).
guy only shows up with AK here welcome to microstake 17/12 nit sends his regards
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