AQo river calldown? 10NL

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AQo river calldown? 10NL

BB: $10
UTG: $8.48
HJ: $14.04
CO: $12.05 (Hero)
BN: $5.45
SB: $10
UTG: 34/14 WTSD: 34 WonSD: 44 (285 hands)
Preflop ($0.15) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q A
UTG raises to $0.40, HJ folds, Hero calls $0.40, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($0.95) A T 6 (2 Players)
UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn ($1.95) A T 6 3 (2 Players)
UTG bets $1, Hero calls $1
This board is kinda dry, He definitely bets with BDFD, Ax or better.
River ($3.95) A T 6 3 T (2 Players)
UTG bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50
He gave me 22% Pot Odds. But there aren't almost any combo which bet the river and worse than AQ. My hand became a bluffcatcher on the river Imo. I think I should fold in spite of the good pot odds.

Idea Guys?

9 Comments

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1followu 11 years, 2 months ago

there are stats such as aggression facotr, aggr. frequency, etc.

hes not bluffing here if we assume hes passiv. so he either has flush. fullhouse or at lowest ak. tx is discounted of his range if he isnt crazy or sth. he might overplay (?) hands such as aq sometimes, but aq is only 6 combinations and aj 8 comibnations.

if hes aggro i would call.



SPrince 11 years, 2 months ago

This guy looks fishy and passive so it`s kinda over-elaborating to think he`s gonna barrel anything else other then Ax KsQs QsJs.

Even though this looks like a trivial call on the surface, i think a case can be made for folding due to his passiveness and low pfr% which means he doesn`t show up with worse aces here much when opening Utg.

Defo include postflop stats as @1followu mentioned.

1followu 11 years, 2 months ago

he doesnt show up with many aces cause he wouldnt bet them small/thin for value and would just check them since hes passiv. and like i said they small part of his range compared to hands that beat us.

u have to think about how he views ur range aswell. and cause obviously hes a bad handreader he thinks u can easily have tx or a (in practice very unrealistic) backdoorflush.



ItsToothPasteISwear 11 years, 2 months ago

I would call. I think if he had a monster hand hed be betting bigger most of the time and he gave you such a good price that I think AQ is a call, especially holding the As. I dont see any read that suggests hes super passive either.

ItsToothPasteISwear 11 years, 2 months ago

yeah, I dont think that means super passive tho, and that also doesnt speak to his post flop play. At least to the point of where I think it has any real bearing on changing a call to a fold

whysoeasy 11 years, 2 months ago

If the gap enter his vpip/pfr is due to a limp range, then his value range is really narrow, something like "AcAh,TdTh,AhTh,KJs+,QJs"= 6combos, and even if he raises ATo, it's add only 2 combos so with such great pot odd it's difficult to find a fold since he really don't need to bluff often. (note: I consider AK as a check with the flush and the second T river. And assume he limp 66, 89s ... but if he does't have a limp range, we can add these)

So with just the PF info I would call but I think here the postflop stats (such as CB f/t/r, donkbet, check/fold, bet river) are important to evaluate his aggro and take our decision like if he is CBetting 50/40/40 I just snap fold obv ^^ but if show aggro stats post flop, I would snap call with the pot odds.

Chael Sonnen 11 years, 2 months ago

His sizing really makes it look like a scared value bet.
I'd never ever fold here, and expect to win vs worse Ax, chop with AQ a lot, and occasionally lose to AK or some kind of inducing hand.

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