I dont like it ro raise here with your hand. Youre repping sets and nearly nothing else. You wouldnt do this with for example , JT,KT,QT or something like this. The T OTT is nearly the best card for him, because of the example written above. So he could call with Tx Combos and the Overpairs. He looks nitty so if he calls the flop raise I think he is never folding this turn.

The River is a tough spot. I think he could have some overpairs he might should fold but doesnt do just because he can call:) And he coudl have some combos which beat you really hard, like quads fulls and Flushes, cause you dont block anything of it.

All in all I would prefer maybe to c/c once and fold any unimproved turn.

Fold preflop or 3 bet preflop (if ha had high 3 bet preflop on UTG)
He is very tight player (as PFR) so he hasn't AX weaker than AQ (maybe AJs)

I got some fds in my range too. so hwy he can call the river easy? i dont get it :O

3bet Pre would be really bad. You iso your hand vs the strongest Range and dont want to fold to a 4bet.

I dont like this spot for bluffing. First, you are vs UTG, which mean a strong and tight range. All OvP are in his range. If we think about your range, I'd x/r 33, 44, TT and some FDs, but when you x/r a hand like AQ with bdfd, you are overbluffing in this spot, which means that vilain can be exploiting you by calling more. In this case, his range is just too strong and I dont expect you to have a lot of fold.

OTT, Im not betting on this card. If you think about it, his flop x/r calling range is OvP, FDs, probably some TP hand. Now, OTT, his OvP are still good and not folding, FDs is probably calling again (although they have lost some value) and TP just improved to trips. Also, you arent representing a T because you would have x/c flop with Tx hand. You have less TT combos either..

Overall, I just think that you didnt pick a good hand to bluff. You value range for x/r - bet - shove is 33,44,TT. Thats not a lot of combo so you shouldnt have many bluff to go with it. And finally, at 10nl, people are calling too much so, even if you rep something really strong, vilain is likely to call kinda light. My strategy would be to value bet wider and bluffing less instead or running big bluff.

I would 3bet pre youre oop and get to pick the pot often with a cbet. As played fold to flop bet.

Raising is by far the worst option on the flop. Calling or folding is way more attractive. Sucks to raise a hand like this with no clean outs and we often will have reversed implied odds and fairly low equity. And we pretty much rep nothing when raising this flop

Preflop: I like a mixed strategy with AQ sb v utg depending on player type and the BB, call, 3b and fold are all good options. In this exact spot, with info provided (basically not alot, BB player type is important here) I slightly prefer 3b and utiziling AQ for its blockers.

Flop: don't like a raise at all, in general its not a good idea to bluff when you can only rep sets on a board where we have so few value combos. Find a more connected board, an opponent with a wider range, too high cbet freq's + some good outs to bluff. Besides, we can just call flop which is much better with good showdown value plus the best hand alot of the time.

Turn: Now you have to give up, utg loves his hand now if he has Tx and JJ+ as set combos are reduced and we rep even thinner. We may not even have 33 and 44 in our flatting range. I don't flat 33 and 44 here but I guess at Nl10 its more likely.

I think someone you have 200 hands on betting 1/2p when you expect 2/3p is a really bad reason for putting 13x the pot in with ace-high. Especially since I'm guessing that read was skewing you toward him having JT more than AA and then the turn made JT better than AA.

Your perceived range on the flop is:
TT, 44, 33, 6x5x, AQs, AJs, A9s, A8s, A7s, A6s, A5s, A3s, A2s, KQs, KJs, QJs, J9s, 98s, 97s, 87s, 86s, 76s, 75s, 65s.
And possibly:
Ax5x, Ax2x, 7x6x 4x3x.
My point being that here you have far more draws in your perceived range than made (and also therefore super strong hands). He could call you here in a single raised pot with a wide range of showdown hands, a lot of tens in that range so betting the turn is a bad idea. That turn is a 'slap yourself on the wrist and give up turn'. Once you've bet the turn you have to shove that river as most of your draws got there although I'm guessing at 10NL people would just nearly always sigh-call with a T there.

About me: I am a 100NL Supernova reg with a ~13BB/100 win rate so far in 2015 after ~15k hands played although I'd expect that to drop to around the 9BB/100 or 10BB/100 mark once more volume kicks in. 5% of the way to Supernova already after 1 week, hoping to do the improbable and get SNE just playing 100NL... not fucking likely though ahha.