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AQo 3bet pot OOP vs reg

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

AQo 3bet pot OOP vs reg

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) CO: $11.78 (Hero)
BN: $16.81
SB: $18.03
BB: $10.00
UTG: $10.95
MP: $11.81
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is CO with Q A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BN raises to $1.20, 2 folds, MP folds, Hero calls $0.90
Mp is 26/17 over 35 hands
BN is 17/14 over 109 hands
what do you think of pre?
Yea His stats is very tight but I don't think that He don't bluff this situation.
So I decides to call.
Flop ($2.85) 8 K K
Hero checks, BN bets $1.30, Hero calls $1.30
when He bets I think, he will bet with the all his range. Only QQ, JJ, TT will check back.
So I think I can have better hand enough often and I decised to call.
Turn ($5.45) 8 K K 2
Hero checks, BN checks
I don't know
Could he check nuts or overpair or fd?
I think sometimes He could.
River ($5.45) 8 K K 2 J
Hero bets $3.50, BN calls $3.50
So now I think what I should do?)
I think sometimes I have better hand, sometimes he has nuts, and sometimes he has QJ, JT, J9.... or maybe 8x hand.

So i think what better raise or check and if I will check, should I call??

Flopzilla shows that he has 29.7 % nuts and overpair, 19% of the time middle pair, 10% of the time weak pair, 24.3% Ace hight, no made hand 16%

If I will bet, I think He can fold a middle pair, a Ace hight, no made hand 16%.
I don't know how about middle pairs, I think sometimes He could fold.

and I need only 40% fe if I will bet on this river.
And I think that It is better dicision in this situation.

Because If I check, he can win with weak pair he can win with middle pair.



4 Comments

Loading 4 Comments...

IluxaVag 10 years, 3 months ago

I don't think that he has AK, or KQ, because I have blockers.

my solution in the flopzilla

I think if He will bet river 2/3, I think I should call, because I need 29% and I have 40%

[Flopzilla v1.6.8]
[Use Ctrl+I to import into Flopzilla]
[www.flopzilla.com ]
[ydE60HbszmHW9eUkBezYESnQ5fiE4ZjHhdJr+GMkMHL5wXrtid]
[OKv3MnWtcDvSfaFV2oF495GhzOXRiHYlMZ5Rglvma3QtLPySXk]
[fOWqyhaZJHl3FOSbC3543WC02ZvMR2csAREGWj3fUoWo2LtLF+]
[jHXr1UwAiOFY8ChTIAEoqQSu1fFVk1ObvgD+9UUbeosd1MEnDP]
[7ixwgKP+M79bCB4fQEO5+Hlco1hlUkvPfCiHS]

patrickred90 10 years, 3 months ago

I dont like the River bet, because he could check the turn for Pot Controll with all of his Pairs like maybe 99+. I think you turn your hand into a bluff and its not necessary. I also dont think that TT, JJ, QQ are checking the Flop, because they can get value of some weaker combos and TT, JJ maybe QQ need some protection

sweet16 10 years, 3 months ago

Checking down river is at least ev0 and probably more than that since you got sdv. I doubt this play accomplish much rly tbh.

Koala 10 years, 3 months ago

Don't see button's 3bet and squeeze stats, but must be really tight since he is 17/14. Folding pre is fine. Calling pre is okay but I'd fold flop. If we did get to the river, I'm probably still x/folding.

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