AQ
Posted by taaazz
Posted by
taaazz
posted in
Low Stakes
AQ
BN: $25.11
SB: $43.73
BB: $14.05
UTG: $35.37
HJ: $25 (Hero)
CO: $28.42
SB: $43.73
BB: $14.05
UTG: $35.37
HJ: $25 (Hero)
CO: $28.42
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
A
UTG raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.40, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $1.65
UTG raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.40, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $1.65
vs a fish
Flop
($5.15)
6
4
6
(2 Players)
UTG checks,
Hero checks
I didn't see any reason to bet, so I just XB, hoping that he hits TP with a worse kicker or turns his BRDW into a bluff.
Turn
($5.15)
6
4
6
5
(2 Players)
UTG bets $2.46,
Hero calls $2.46
I'm not sure here - I just feel like I'm being ran over in these spots over and over again. (I look soooo capped/face up) I didn't want to straight up fold - I still beat some FD/random BRDW/A2-A5s/89s.
River
($10.07)
6
4
6
5
5
(2 Players)
UTG bets $6.73,
Hero calls $6.73
A pretty bad card, but also one that he'll bluff - I don't see him vbetting any OvP with this sizing, so he's likely polarized. I need ~28% - he has 22 value combos, which means that I need to find ~9 bluff combos, right?
22/1-0.28 = ~31 (total combos)
31-22= 9 (req bluff combos)
So if he just bets A2s/A3s here - that's already 8, and I can easily see him betting some random BRDW often enough for me to bluffcatch here.
Would you agree with this? Or is my thought process flawed and he can bet an OvP with this sizing?
22/1-0.28 = ~31 (total combos)
31-22= 9 (req bluff combos)
So if he just bets A2s/A3s here - that's already 8, and I can easily see him betting some random BRDW often enough for me to bluffcatch here.
Would you agree with this? Or is my thought process flawed and he can bet an OvP with this sizing?
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