AQ on Axx, b-b-b line? 3bpt, tight ranges, volatilty, 143bb deep
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by
MatoStar
posted in
Low Stakes
AQ on Axx, b-b-b line? 3bpt, tight ranges, volatilty, 143bb deep
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players)
CO: $40.57
BN: $50.00
SB: $48.38
BB: $20.00
UTG: $71.78
UTG+1: $56.37
MP: $61.08
MP+1: $50.00
MP+2: $88.75 (Hero)
BN: $50.00
SB: $48.38
BB: $20.00
UTG: $71.78
UTG+1: $56.37
MP: $61.08
MP+1: $50.00
MP+2: $88.75 (Hero)
47/19 over 79 hands
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is MP+2 with
A
Q
, , , ,
Sort of rare play which I do make against guys recs like this who are likely not aware of positions, so their opening ranges are similar as those from the BTN.
Flop
($10.75)
A
4
4
, ,
Deviating from a range betting strategy with a smaller sizing, because he is a rec and I wanna maximize my value + we are a bit deep.
Turn
($24.23)
A
4
4
7
, ,
I think I might go smaller - 40-50% to keep his second pairs in his calling range
River
($54.61)
A
4
4
7
3
44.85$ left. Do we wanna fire 3. barrel? Is more likely that he has AK in his range or that he is gonna call with AJo?.. maybe opting for a smaller size OTT and OTR as well might be the way to go. Like 1/2 turn and 1/2 river Because now, due to bigger sizings, his range is pretty narrow.
Do you agree with sizing it down a bit OTT and OTR as well? If yes, what would you do if he x/raises OTT/OTR?
If you dont agree with the first statement, what would be your line of choice and why?
Btw in this case he donk shoves himself OTR... its your turn;)
Loading 2 Comments...
Problem with big flop bet that even most of recs (unless station) will fold a lot and their range became quite Ax heavy on the turn. This is not 100% rule and not happening always. However PIO doesn't like to bet big because isolation strong range not make a lot of sense.
Flop/Turn is obviosly decently played here, river it is not a question-. We will put it this way - will he call enough worse Ax vs your bet?? and lets throw some rough numbers (he can have ~ maybe 10-15better combos and he need to have and call AJo-ATo to make it better than check
Agree with Jeff_ that river we just want to put all money in, whatever the way.
If it comes to flop size, it is 140bb deep, so we either make flop bigger, bet turn solid and jam river for around pot, or we go small flop, bet big turn, but now we have to overbet river?
And I dont think its difficult to make argument, that overbetting river for value is also not perfect and will likely make Villain fold statistically more.
So yeah, maybe we fold more of their junk OTF with bigger sizing, but if alternative is overbetting river, I dont mind.
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