AQ 3b(Sqwz pot) IP
Posted by peter89
Posted by
peter89
posted in
Low Stakes
AQ 3b(Sqwz pot) IP
BB : 24/21 3bet over 207h is 16% but i dont think so i turn it down to 11-12%(should be fair and i think so it right) and also MP open 25% .
I did some calculating and thinking how he will play and i assume :
11% ~ 145 comb
flop :
his bet range on flop i assume will be :
value: 32comb
semi bluff FD : 9comb , 6comb GS
(75comb) , if we remove some BDFD , his bet range around 58combs
check:
70(comb) Ax,high Broadway.
Turn : when he bet turn i think his range now :
14 combos : AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd, AdTd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Jd9d, Td9d (FD)
I'm not sure about broadway cards coz he can just cbet with it on flop(especially with BDFD) , we also can add TT-JJ?
23 combos if we add TT-JJ
river : 9combos of fd miss , 5 combos of Tx and also , 9 combos JJ-TT
and if he checking miss FD with Ax (3combos) and bluff with the rest + shove Tx and JJ-TT then we have only 30%
on river we need 32% . if he checking more than 3fd combos we dead here..
my thinking process right? Also i'm not sure about his range because as you can see player A ) can bluff with all FD's here then we are good to call , and player B) can check all miss FD because he assume i have overpairs here and will not fold(like 88+).
How should i train my thinking process/logic in spots like this ?
Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $81.43 (162.9 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $60.78 (121.6 bb)
MP: $122.60 (245.2 bb)
CO: $79.38 (158.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $65.81 (131.6 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with A Q
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB raises to $7.50, MP folds, Hero calls $6, SB folds
Flop: ($18) 5 3
3
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($18) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $10, Hero calls $10
River: ($38) T (2 players)
BB bets $32.50 all in, hero ???
Loading 9 Comments...
I like a back raise pre in this spot. As played, I would river.
you call river? problem is he can have 'cc' flush in his range too coz we dont know for sure if he bet it on flop (not 100% time but some time..) and what if he never bluff with 'dd' fd? but i think he should at least with some combos...but even then not sure if we have 30% , probably no?
About back raise Pre , i will do it with QJ/KQ/KJ/AJ/AK JJ+
I think AQ is strong vs his range since he have all broadway cards and Ax
but if i'm right your idea mean you can get money more ez from preflop ?
like i check calculator of 4b and we earn around 12bb/100 without postflop
And then the question is can we earn more if we call? Maybe but it will be a bit harder to play ...
and also i miss action that SB call... then yes probably its better 4b...
Every time i miss this things (kinda small things but they are not too small) when im playing..
I like a back raise pre in this spot. As played, I would fold river.
i would river too sempai, lel
Why backraise pre? Don't understand...
145 combos PRE(can be more) , we have blockers , since he getin only with 30-35 combos , 4bet is +EV situation vs 11% .
So we get around 12bb/100 for hand without any problems (if my calculations is right).
for me as low skill player its best ! because im 0 in postflop games...
Also in stove we have 52% vs 11% lol i thought AQ have more ..
also like backraise, his sizing is just way too huge.
Never calling this much pre, so its backraise or fold for me
You can 3b sometimes against a wide MP opener, I think U raise most of Your premiums also, so if sqz happy players behind, I think it works better. I'm okay with a 4B preflop, but if U 3B Your premiums always, hard to represent value hands in this spot when U call a wide mp open, not a great spot for You, I think Your call is okay.
Your turn call is a bit loose but okay. On the river he can represent some TT, maybe 44 and some flushes, and bluffs what he didn't cbet. He hardly represent value hands, U also, but maybe U can chbehind some FD-s with some SD value because U not expect from villain to c/f too much in these flops wich is favors his range mostly. U can have some TT, 44, and a few flushes what U can represent, If U are deeper, U can raise sometimes maybe. It depends on Your flop chb, turn call range Ahigh with a nut flush blocker maybe better to call than some other bluffcatchers on the river, but it could be a disaster if he's turn AK to a bluff or something.
I think readless better to fold.
Thanks guys.
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