Approach to river tough call spots.

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Approach to river tough call spots.

Hi. Id like to discuss some questions about this hand and MDF approach at these limits.

Villian Info:
VPIP/PFR: 23/15
3bet: 7.7/25
101 Hands
So here is my analysis:

EXPLOTATIVE APPROACH

VILLAIN RANGE: AQ(8),TT(3),55(3), KQ(4), AJs(4),KJs(2)

OUR EQUITY AGAINST HIS RANGE: 15.22%

He offers 29% pot odds so the fold is ok in this point of view.

MDF APPROACH

OUR RANGE
RAISE RANGE(4):QQ(1),TT(3).
CALLING RANGE (21): AsAx(3),AsKs(1),AsJs(1), AQ(8), KQ(8)
FOLDING RANGE (15): AA(3),KK(6),JJ(6)

So the MDF ratio is 61%, so we have to call that percentaje to remain
inexplotable. Since we have 36 combos then we should fold half and a little
more I'd say I'd call Aces with a spade and fold the others.So the fold with
Kings seems reasonable.

I work with a spreadsheet to calculate average EV of the accions and the call
against that range is -EV.

So my question: What aproach do you take in these limits?. Both look so
diferent to me and im really tempted to just take the explotative approach,
cause looks easier but I really want to get better and be a competent oponent
in higher limits.
Im open a discuss of the analysis of the hand itself aswell.

Thanks

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