Any way not to go broke w/ AA here? (NL25)
Posted by TimberSK
Posted by
TimberSK
posted in
Low Stakes
Any way not to go broke w/ AA here? (NL25)
HJ: $25.35
CO: $25
BN: $10
SB: $31.59 (Hero)
BB: $29.13
UTG: $25
CO: $25
BN: $10
SB: $31.59 (Hero)
BB: $29.13
UTG: $25
25 hands into the session, no particular reads, CO plays 32/21 by end of session.
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $0.75, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.80, BB folds, CO calls $2.05
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $0.75, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.80, BB folds, CO calls $2.05
Should have made it $3.
Flop
($5.95)
6
T
T
(2 Players)
Hero bets $4.90,
CO calls $4.90
His calling range as I assume it: KcKs,QQ-66,AKs,ATs,JTs,Tc9c,Td9d,Ts9s,9c8c,9s8s,8c7c,8d7d,7h6h,7s6s
Turn
($15.75)
6
T
T
9
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $7.47,
Hero calls $7.47
I go into bluff catching mode and switch my brain of. Any opinions?
River
($30.69)
6
T
T
9
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $9.83, and is all in,
Hero calls $9.83
Loading 6 Comments...
this guy seems pretty loose and i see a ton of Tx in his range his stats indicate that he doesnt like folding preflop so i think we are beat alot here given that the flop is pretty try i dont know if he really floats every gutshot on the flop. without any reads the calldown is pretty thin but u get pretty good odds. Without any reads i would think about a turn fold even if its pretty nitty.
I think your flop bet is really big. I think like $3 to 3.50 is better. On such a dry board there is no need to bet so big. Without knowing villains call 3 Bet stat it is hard to know how many 10's are in their range. I think after flop either check call down like you did or you could also bet and call shove on turn. we still beat a lot of their range.
As I asked below: How do you decide upon cbet sizing in general? I tend to bet larger when I see villain is quite loose, thus my large bet here. Also here, I thought I bet big to have him pay a lot with most pocket pairs as we have overcards so often.
i think 3-bet sizing is fine if not slightly large, unless you are exploiting a tendency to not fold to 3-bet.
why do you think KK particularly, but also QQ/AK are in his preflop calling range?
i think we can mix up our play on the flop a bit. We can't really go bet/bet/bet and get 3 streets, so really we're looking for 2 streets of value. i think checking the flop sometimes is ok as our hand doesn't need protecting at all. if we're going to bet on this flop, we should bet a lot smaller imo
I kept one combo of KK in his preflop calling range for the sake of the possibility he will do that sometimes? QQ and AKs I should have taken away at least half of the combos I guess.
How do you decide upon cbet sizing in general? I tend to bet larger when I see villain is quite loose, thus my large bet here. Also here, I thought I bet big to have him pay a lot with most pocket pairs as we have overcards so often.
depends on several factors. Position, Board, Villain range, stacks to name a few. On the board in this hand it is a paired rainbow board, it very unlikely to hit Villain. We have a strong hand and want to get value. I would bet about half pot, they many then come along with some hands that would fold to a larger bet. We may also loss less if do have a 10.
You say you bet bigger when Villain is loose which is good if they will call loose but at this time you only have 25 hands on them and so can't take much from that sample size. Does that help? I am no poker expert but this is what I think about.
one final point, I would not use hand strength to determine size of bet as it turns your hand face up. I see so many players bet half pot when strong and full pot when weak.
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