another gross spot with set fml

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

another gross spot with set fml

BN: $383.75
SB: $50.25 (Hero)
BB: $93.42
UTG: $68.20
HJ: $50
CO: $54.18
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 5 5
UTG raises to $1.50, HJ calls $1.50, CO folds, BN calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds
Flop ($6.50) Q A 5 (4 Players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.50, HJ raises to $4.44, BN folds, Hero calls $4.44, UTG calls $2.94
Turn ($19.82) Q A 5 2 (3 Players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2, HJ calls $2, Hero raises to $13.96, UTG raises to $62.26, and is all in, HJ folds

pretty sure i have to fold this i was wondering if raising flop is better and as played should i be raising the turn or just pot control?

2 Comments

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taaazz 10 years, 6 months ago

Interesting spot. Again - I'd love to see what other people think.

 I'm not sure about the flop play, as his CC @ EPvMP + XR  an OOP CB into 2 plrs while having a plr behind looks so strong in the first place (but the PFR's sizing is weak, so he might do that w/ a wider range than 2pair+). At the same time, I assume he 3bets AA/QQ at least some % of the time (if not always). 

Sooo, looking from HJ's perspective - I think that he's likely to ignore UTG in this spot, so he'd mainly focus on your perceived range - you very rarely have a made hand here. {AA/QQ/AQ} are most likely in your SQZ range, so you're left w/ {55/A5s*} and a some combo draws, and he's flipping against this range

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Board: Qh As 5s

Hand 0: 45.060% { 55,A5s,KsQs,KsJs,KsTs,QsJs,QsTs,JsTs }

Hand 1: 54.940% { AdQd }

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You also have the worst relative position, so I don't mind 3b/gii on the flop.As played, I don't think you have a value raise in a 3way pot (with UTG who likely got there). I'd much rather call and try to get to SD/hit a FH (in which case I'd lead the R)
s00ted 10 years, 6 months ago

Just put in a big raise on that flop. It's threeway and both opponents show interest in the pot.

Turn raise is fine, but fold to the jam. 

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