Am I just mad? bet/folding straight with 0.9spr OTR?!
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by MatoStar posted in Low Stakes
Am I just mad? bet/folding straight with 0.9spr OTR?!
CO: $58.28
BN: $14.69
SB: $30.14 (Hero)
BB: $25.00
UTG: $19.54
UTG+1: $34.89
MP: $32.55
F3b 36; 4b 11
AG 30/28/30
FCB 53/42/33
WTSD 29; WSD 52; WWSF 38
Rake is $1.25
Pros of going smallish:
1. He looks like a guy who isnt capable of making exploitative folds, so we might get called by QJs,AJs,QQ
2. Given his stats regarding aggression+WWSF, I wouldnt be scared of getting bluff-raised, so we can actually safe some money from slowplayed TT-JJ,KJs,KTs
Cons:
1. He might be potentially valuebetting AQ which might be actually enough to make a call.. and obviously shove>bet/call, since he isnt bluffing
About shoving.. we are trying to maximize our value from Kx, but KQo isnt probably in his opening range at the first point (or folds to 3bet), AK is most likely 4betting, given his 4b stat. So then, there is only 1 combo of KQs
Or is he going to call our river shove with AJ? If yes, then we are definitely better off shoving.. but I am pretty dubious about it..
Any thoughts on these grey zones?:)
Thanks so much!
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