Am i anlysing equity correctly?
Posted by Onehunga21
Posted by
Onehunga21
posted in
Low Stakes
Am i anlysing equity correctly?
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (6 Players)
BB: $2.00
UTG: $2.25
MP: $1.72
CO: $4.19 (Hero)
BN: $1.35
SB: $2.14
UTG: $2.25
MP: $1.72
CO: $4.19 (Hero)
BN: $1.35
SB: $2.14
Preflop
($0.03)
Hero is CO with
2
A
, , , , ,
Flop
($0.23)
9
3
T
, , ,
Final Pot
MP wins $0.47
Rake is $0.02
Rake is $0.02
Reviewing a few hands and this was a spot I had the other day. Limp three bet and then check raise on the flop. Villian is showing strength and folded due to the lack of pot odds to call.
Just ran it through equilab and against 44+,A5s+,KTs+,QJs,A8o+,KJo+ (16% hands) and I'm a 51% favourite. Got odds of 43% when I'm calling. Should I have called this or am I analyzing it wrong
Any comments appreciated
Loading 4 Comments...
It's hard to assign hands to Villian when they min limp-reraise and then check-jam flop.
Why do you assign him 16% of hands, which take this line? I think that's extremely optimistic.
I would mostly give him a range of sets, overpairs, AK and FDs. Folding is fine against that range.
Thanks, I was happy with the fold at the time but didn’t realise how close It was.
I think you need to narrow down the range of hands that you're giving villain. Don't assume that they would take this line with any cards they open. You want to give a range of hands which seems reasonable, in this case I'd start off with something like 99-AA (I think villain's in this spot want to GII sooner so they don't get drawn out on) throw in some flush draws esp. KhQh, JhQh, and I could also see villain's taking this line with other straight draws. Keep in mind whenever you're trying to work out your equity, that the actions villain takes will narrow their range
Great thanks, that makes a lot of sense
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