Allin Ad-Adj (Yellow Line)
Posted by GocceGocce
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GocceGocce
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Low Stakes
Allin Ad-Adj (Yellow Line)
I know my hand now enough for talking about variance but me and my friend have different thoughts about that yellow line. He said this line doesnt show im running very poor. And i belive i run very poor. He said i might be have some postflop and preflop leaks but i dont think so. Can you guys write your thoughts about yellow line. Did i run bad? Or this stat is meanless?
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I found this topic at HM2's support forum, it will give more details on how these All-In Adj lines work.
Also, your friend is right.
It's possible that someone is running under the All-in EV and at the same time running hot, can you understand? Some people disconsider the orange/yellow line because it will only show how good/bad you are running when you are all-in and there is some split equity in the pot.
For example, Villain A is bluffing and Hero is slowplaying (or bluffcatching).
Villain A pots the turn and Hero calls. (hero has 95% equity on the turn).
Villain A rivered the nuts and hit the 5% and pots again. Hero calls and lose.
If you look into Hero's graph, the yellow line will be down, but it does not mean that Hero made a bad decision. If we suppose that in the same spot the Hero shoved turn and both players went all in on the turn and then the Villain rivered the 5%, now we would see the yellow line straight UP, but, again, it does not mean it was the highest EV strategy.
Yeah i understand. But i belive its hard to run hot when you have 8BI diffrerence in 8K hand vs green line. And ty for link share.
For example, Villain A is bluffing and Hero is slowplaying (or bluffcatching).
Villain A pots the turn and Hero calls. (hero has 95% equity on the turn).
Villain A rivered the nuts and hit the 5% and pots again. Hero calls and lose.
If you look into Hero's graph, the yellow line will be down, but it does not mean that Hero made a bad decision. If we suppose that in the same spot the Hero shoved turn and both players went all in on the turn and then the Villain rivered the 5%, now we would see the yellow line straight UP, but, again, it does not mean it was the highest EV strategy.
Its hero loose EV sample. I belive when hero is nice enough player to not play so much -EV situation yellow line never goes down 8BI vs green one. He must be very lucky with AAvs KK , KK vs QQ in short run.
meaningless over that sample...
I know its meaningless with that sample. I dont ask for that. I as beyond the sample. Difference between yellow and green line can tell me something about my bad play?
no, that line is just a model... it is a better approximation of the winrate over a large sample but don't read too much in that.
Everything is possible, I play style with mid-low standard deviation and this year I'm 21 buyins below EV and I played little more than 25k hands.
Anyway I think how good and bad you are running is unmeasurable as you would need to to analyze every decision when you voluntarily put money in pot and check whatever outcome of your every decision was above or below EV versus exact opponents ranges.
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