Hi, I'm not really sure about this hand I played yesterday, it felt like overplay on the river but when I looked at ranges it didn't seem as terrible as I thought. On the turn I think it is quite bad to raise, I didn't think it through enough in the hand I just saw my 2 overs and FD and he was betting so small I decided to attack.

I don't have stats, but this guy is a weaker player. I've seen him donk and barrel recently with the same sizing on flop and turn with a 2nd-pair type hand. So here I assume his range is NOT that given that his sizing increased on the turn. So I could give him something like 8x, 9x, some TT, some FDs and some pair+FD - most/all of which isn't folding to my raise...

He probably gets to river with this range: {99-TT,JTs,T8s,98s,87s,65s,JTo,98o,87o,QsJs,QdTd,QsTs,Td9d,Ts9s,6d4d,5d4d,4d3d,QdJd}[#51]. By shoving into this range, he probably calls with this: {99,JTs,T8s,98s,87s,65s,JTo,98o,87o,5d4d,4d3d,6d4d}[#40]. That is 22% FE. With these ranges, we have apparently EV = +$3.96 for shoving. Which feels way too high in this spot, so I'm sure I've got some problem here.

Or maybe it's not terrible? I'm assuming he can't fold trips here because he's shown he's a pretty bad player, but I didn't include things like J8s,Q8s,K8s,A8s which I think he will also have and which also improves my EV...