AKo X/R turn with TP + NFD
Posted by bumblebtuna
Posted by
bumblebtuna
posted in
Low Stakes
AKo X/R turn with TP + NFD
WPN, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - Hand Details
CO: $6.92 (69.2 bb)
BTN: $10.61 (106.1 bb)
SB: $4.39 (43.9 bb)
Hero (BB): $14.56 (145.6 bb)
MP: $12.28 (122.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A
K
2 folds, BTN raises to $0.20, SB folds, Hero raises to $0.65, BTN calls $0.45
Flop: ($1.35) 7 8 4
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20
Turn: ($3.75) A (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.60, Hero raises to $5.20
Villain in a 20/13 player.
I want to focus on the Turn in this hand. What are thoughts on x/r? I felt like my equity here was pretty great, and I could probably get them to call with 99-QQ, AJ/AQ. If raised I can call with draws to NFD and if called and i miss river I can probably get villain to fold sets on the river, based on what would be in the pot at that point is that plausible?
On review I'm wondering whether a call is better? It keeps his bluffs in, however I don't think villain fires on the river as a bluff, nor with a mid pair type hand so I don't gain much from calling.
Thoughts?
Loading 5 Comments...
Calling turn, your play is really strange ( it has merits that you can bluff like this almost 60% size of your stack, and it might worked in higher limits.Not this strong type of hand)
Now you turning your hand into a semibluff, because when villian shoves you are behind equity.
Think you overplaying your hand, flop included( villian pots flop probably strong range, so I'd be carefull there).
Thanks Jeff! It's probably overplayed, the thing is I couldn't see villain shoving on me all that often here (maybe 5%). Also like you said, villain potting flop and the strong turn bet made me think he wasn't bluffing, so the raise was for value, maybe 99/TT fold to my raise, but I think most his range will call turn. Do you think it's unlikely that JJ/QQ, AQ, AJ will call my turn raise? If so then it was defo overplayed...having said that, maybe those hands don't even bet turn...
can discount AJ,AQ they not always bet turn, as well as not always pot flop
. And Ace of spade came on the turn, means villian have less that kind of hands ( AsQd, AsJd,AsJh.....)
I don't much like raising turn. Difficult to get called by worse hands there and when we get raised, are we calling to get it in with what is likely 20% equity? We're raising there for more than half of villains remaining stack. Since the pot is so big, I think they're gonna be trying to control the size of the pot with their more volatile hands and be betting like this with a pretty polarized range which makes raising here not super appealing. I think a cool discussion would be to talk about which boards, if any, we could work in turn call-river lead lines.
As for flop, I'm not really sure how I feel about it. I think the call is okay. We need to defend about half the time so we should be considering our entire preflop 3betting range and deciding which hands make the best defends, I don't think overpairs will be enough to cut it. And we need to make sure we don't leave our calling range too weak by raising all of our strong hands. In fact, I'm probably fine with either a bet line or a x/c line and not having a x/r at all.
I think flop is fine, large protion of villains range missed this flop, betting here would fold out a large portion of his range that is worse than mine, and nothing better than me is folding here. x/c'ing gives villain the opportunity to bluff his missed hands, when I have the "nut nothing".
Not sure I like x/c, lead river as a line. It's a very polarized move and based on pot size on the river and stacks behind I'm not sure I could get better to fold...
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