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AKo SBvsMP GII?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

AKo SBvsMP GII?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BB: $18.68
UTG: $22.91
MP: $24.50
CO: $25.70
BN: $12.97
SB: $28.05 (Hero)
25/17
3b 6.3
F3b 46
slightly weaker reg on a looser side - bc these stats are from FR
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is SB with A K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, BB folds, MP raises to $7.50, Hero
dont wanna play oop 4bet pot with a hand like this, so either I want to shove or fold. Vs the pool I prefer folding since they arent 4betting enough and therefore their value range is pretty tight, at best QQ+ and AK. However, this guy looks like a guy who might be potentially 4betting wider range and therefore I am not sure if I am ready to make an exploitative fold.

4 Comments

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RaoulFlush 4 years, 8 months ago

Low fold to 3bet doesnt equal high 4bet. If you have some hands on him, you should also have any kind of info on his 4bet tendencies. Btw. His 3bet is not out of line so far (even though that info also doesnt equal a low 4bet either).
I tend to make a nitty fold as well vs MP.

Alinyr 4 years, 8 months ago

In my opinion, you kind of have to shove. You are obviously not thrilled when you get called, but even if he only has QQ+, AK you are still in an ok shape. Due to the fact that you already hold an A and a K, it will be less likely in the long run that you'll be up against AA's and KK's. On top of that, you still get to collect 30 bb's eveytime he folds, and he should have some bluffs from time to time. I'd hate it but i'd still shove, it's what i'm trying to say.

RaoulFlush 4 years, 8 months ago

Therefore we would need to call 21.5 to win 49 we need about 44% equity. AKo vs QQ+/AK has about 39% equity. So if we assume that Villain is calling only with the assigned range a shove doesnt look to great.
But i agree that folding still looks meh as well.
So i guess calling could still be an option as we could stack hands like AJo/A5s postflop that might simply fold vs the jam

RaoulFlush 4 years, 8 months ago

Therefore we would need to call 21.5 to win 49 we need about 44% equity. AKo vs QQ+/AK has about 39% equity. So if we assume that Villain is calling only with the assigned range a shove doesnt look to great.
But i agree that folding still looks meh as well.
So i guess calling could still be an option as we could stack hands like AJo/A5s postflop that might simply fold vs the jam

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