AKo flop and river decision 10NL
Posted by Alex Geiger
Posted by
Alex Geiger
posted in
Low Stakes
AKo flop and river decision 10NL
HJ: $10
CO: $10.08
BN: $12.61
SB: $10.20
BB: $10.49 (Hero)
UTG: $32.39
CO: $10.08
BN: $12.61
SB: $10.20
BB: $10.49 (Hero)
UTG: $32.39
UTG: 29/19 WTSD: 16 FCB: 91 (153 hands)
Preflop
($0.15)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
A
UTG raises to $0.35, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $0.25
UTG raises to $0.35, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $0.25
I just called because when He 4bets me my hand is probably not good enough to get it in. On the other hand He opened 3.5bb.
Flop
($0.75)
T
A
9
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG bets $0.35,
Hero calls $0.35
Subsequently I'd just check raise this flop with 1.3$. I've a pretty wide check/raising range Here [TT to 78s/o, JQs/o, xhxh, bluffs. So I expect him to call with any Ax He opened pre, and may from KK or even QQ-JJ.
All in all, I think check/raising is better here than check/calling OOP.
All in all, I think check/raising is better here than check/calling OOP.
Turn
($1.45)
T
A
9
T
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG bets $0.95,
Hero calls $0.95
If I skip check/raising OTF, I must call-call or call-fold on later streets. I don't want to turn my TPTK into a bluff. His range Here is wide Imo [AK-A7??, JQs, 78s, KhQh, KhJh, Tx]
River
($3.35)
T
A
9
T
8
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG bets $2.35,
Hero folds
I may prefer calling down better than folding, because decent part of the draws are missed, and a lot of Ax are checking back for showdown [like AQ-A7].
I'm pretty unsure about this hand. I interested about Your conceptions and Your advices.
Thank You!
I'm pretty unsure about this hand. I interested about Your conceptions and Your advices.
Thank You!
Final Pot
UTG
wins $3.19
Loading 4 Comments...
river fold is good imo, and I have to disagree with your statement that a decent part of the draws missed. There are only a couple of heart draws (KQ, KJ, maybe 87 76), only 3 total 87s and 1 we accounted for already. QJ gets there So actually a big portion of the draws just hit. Anyway, you can easily have a ten, or QJ and you obviously can have some good aces, so without a read im doubtful hes going to fire the river as a bluff or value bet a worse ace often enough given he also has plenty of Tx or better in his range.
sorry i think this is a slam dunk call. IMO hes value betting AQ-AK on river and he will show up with missed hearts enough of the time for you to call. BTW my assumptions that hes value betting AQ-AK may be wrong at 10NL as players dont value bet thin but at 50nl and up its def a call.
what busted hearts does he have? KQhh KJhh and thats it, maybe 87hh if hes looser UTG (And if he has 87 he can have 76 for the straight) thats hardly any combos at all. 50NL and up they arent value betting AQ/J that often because they recognize thats pretty much the bottom of your range
I do't really like the idea of c/r flop. Do you really defend QJo or 78 BB vs UTG?
As played I'm leaning toward calling river, but I would want to be looking at UTG RFI, cbet by street, WWSF, bet river.
for example, if his UTG RFI is <13 & WWSF is <45 I just fold without much thought
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