AK how big bet on river

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AK how big bet on river

SB: $18.80
BB: $16.06
HJ: $33.36
CO: $17.68
BN: $38.02 (Hero)
Seat 6: Player6 ( $33.36 USD ) - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 9, AF: 3.2, Hands: 1293

Preflop ($0.30) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
HJ raises to $0.60, CO folds, Hero calls $0.60, SB calls $0.50, BB folds
i have few big spot in this moment and i just click on call before hand was fold (timeout)
Flop ($2.00) J T 2 (3 Players)
SB checks, HJ bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, SB folds
two over,gutshot,backdore flush,position=good call
Turn ($5.00) K (2 Players)
HJ bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50
fold is not option and raise is thin
River ($10.00) 3 (2 Players)
HJ checks

now i think i can make value bet ,but how big ? no read on his river action

i think i can make money from AJ,AT,QJ,QQ,KQ

he fold everything else on any bet



6 Comments

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Daz 11 years, 4 months ago

I feel i our hand is good here almost always unless he is nitty and checks AA/JT. Since we called twice with some draws on the board i prefer a polarizing bigger bet, closer to pot size. But this is part of my game as i like to be able to bluff some of my missed draws. 

If you simply feel villain is weak, make the smaller bet and get paid. The nitty players tend to pay off smaller bets (remember to bluff big versus them)

If you think he may be more of a thinking player i would try for a larger bet. Yes, he may simply fold BUT make a note of this type of spot vs him and know you can play your [missed] draws this way too. 

Hmmm, maybe also a smaller size versus an overly aggro player. Since we would be calling them lighter IP, so we would have a wider vlaue range.


wuwei 11 years, 4 months ago

And what missed draws would that be? Are we calling hands like Ad9d-Ad2d, 8s9s, 7d8d, 7d6d, 9d7d pre, OTF and OTT? BN vs HJ vs this player?

To me it seems more like we hardly have any busted draws, whereas we can have a lot of medium to strong hands (Kx, two pairs, straights, and maybe sets). Are you talking about turning pairs into bluffs?

akakaka 11 years, 4 months ago

the bet size u would choose should based heavily on your opponent

in my opinion, the fact villian 3bet 9% on such a niity-oriented stake show us he may be satisfied of his own skill, so i would make a larger bet to let him think we wanna bluff him out , i ll bet about 3/4

Ondrej Rysavy 11 years, 4 months ago

i see here two way :1) bet big and try looks like bluff

2)bet small and give him awesome pot odds

IMHO this is about opponent

I bet 4 into 10 with  hope that almoust all pair call me ,he call with AJ

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