ak 3way, fish in spot
Posted by Tomasz K
Posted by
Tomasz K
posted in
Low Stakes
ak 3way, fish in spot
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (5 Players)
CO: $35.05 (Hero)
BN: $25.45
SB: $31.75
BB: $26.90
UTG: $25.00
BN: $25.45
SB: $31.75
BB: $26.90
UTG: $25.00
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is CO with
A
K
, , , ,
Flop
($2.17)
6
3
K
, , ,
Turn
($4.97)
6
3
K
Q
,
River
($4.97)
6
3
K
Q
5
, ,
sb is a fish 45/35/3b 20%
ep 24/19, 1st mp 19%, fold to 3b over 60%
cb vs 2 26% flop, cb oop overall 39/56/52
wtsd 27/wwsf 44/w$sd 52
turn? Do you ever bet here? IMO we dont have more than 2 streets value, so I can bet here, or OTR.
Do you have any idea what are adventages and disadventages of betting OTR instead of betting OTT? I think it's nice to underep my hand, but I dont know if it's correct tbh :/
thanks for help!
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It seems like you don't want his money lol easy bet bet. Checking turn makes no sense
Would it be check/call flop, bet turn, and check back river? Or do you think betting the river in this spot is the most +EV decision?
Easy Bet Turn & Bet River
I dont see a hand that he is willing to call on the river and not on the turn..People generally dont bluff with line bet/x/bet. U can get value on the turn with his Kx, and AQ type hands, as well on the river.. When he check-calls that turn you always have the best hand, so a river is a value bet every time. In these spots with TPTK is good always to bet 50-60% on the turn and river.
Maybe QJs calls on either Turn or River but not both.
Kx, AQ mostly calls both turn and river 50-60%.
thanks, after a while I dont really know why I xb turn. Now I think I should bet OTT and small OTR.
Maybe I'm moved a bit toward passive lines, because of last days downswings.
thanks guys!
What is your thought process when he checks to you on the Turn? (If you were UTG how would you decide what to bet and check?)
This spot should be an easy-to-recognise bet turn-bet river with your value and overbet Turn/shove river with the rest since you crush his weak turn checking range.
What did his range for betting the flop look like given SB (fish) and 3-way OOP?
Answer: Maybe stronger (more value, less bluffs) than usual given 3-way with SB fish preflop call forcing honesty. TP+ but maybe more likely to check with underpairs (77-99), 6x, BDFDs. Maybe less likely to bet BDSD+ overcard AQ, AJ, AT. Maybe bets A4s, A5s with BDFDs+BDSDs.
Given flop betting range, what does his range for betting mostly look like on the Turn?
Answer: At NL25 I suspect all Two pair+, all TPTK and all AA. But his flop honesty already leaves Villain exposed with insufficient bluffs in his range.
And so what does his checking range look like?
Answer: Really weak and exposed to Hero to exploit! TPWK (KJs- maybe as low as K8s, KJo), 2nd pair (Qx) but maybe most checked flop with SB fish and 3-way. What about club FDs? We assumed above the BDFDs might be more likely to check flop 3-way with fish so hardly any reach the turn. Your Ac blocks the Axcc (like A5cc, A4cc) anyway.
Can your TPTK when betting get calls from worse or get folds from some equity?
Answer: Yes, mainly TPWK & few Qx certainly call turn and face a more difficult decision on the river depending on betsize.
What betsize is most +EV?
Answer: IMO $3.25 (~2/3) on the turn, then $6.50 on River ~55% (river pot = $11.47) given Villain calling range is mainly Kx and hardly any Qx that bet flop.
Caveat: Above assumes that at 25NL Villain does not protect his checking range with any check/call slowplays such as AA+/two pair(KQ)+. If Villain's best check/call hand is AK then Hero's hand is always best on Turn.
Exploitation: If Villain's check/call range is an unprotected TPWK & Qx, (with all AK betting both flop and turn) how should you exploitatively play your entire range vs a Turn Villain check since he has nothing that wants to call a shove?
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