AJs vs iso 3b @50z
Posted by kozzy
Posted by
kozzy
posted in
Low Stakes
AJs vs iso 3b @50z
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $50.50 (Hero)
SB: $25.11
BB: $72.98
UTG: $32.81
MP: $28.36
CO: $90.73
SB: $25.11
BB: $72.98
UTG: $32.81
MP: $28.36
CO: $90.73
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BN with
A
J
, , , , , ,
utg is fish, BB weakish fishreg 24/18/6 (900h
Flop
($20.50)
A
T
6
, ,
Turn
($36.86)
A
T
6
6
,
Whats the correct play ott? My assumptions are: 1) he will play str8 forward in pot with fish 2)my perceived range is pretty strong and face up, I think he believes i'm not ever folding AJ, AQ stuff 3)paired turns are underbluffed. Seems like ok explo fold? Thank you for your opinion.
Loading 6 Comments...
Hey kozzy,
You need to win around 35% to +ev.
Just think about how many hands (bluffs) you need to see besides AQ+ TT ATs in order to at least have 35% equity. You will see that even if you add every possible flush draw in his 3bet range played like that you still only have 20-25% equity.
So unless your opponent is making this play with percentages of hands as weak as KQo, or either he´s valuebetting something like A8s, you´ll find a clear explo fold as you said.
Would you start calling with AK or AQ? I think AK is pretty easy, but i wonder if split equity with AQ is enough here, i dont think so.
But whats the point of calling a weakish 4bet with AJ when you fold on this board?
I don't see it?
Isn't it exploitable if he gets you to fold an Ace on A T 6 6 ?
Ofc in 50z, the home of the nits, it is a fold but theoretically the fold seems bad to me at least.
But you said explo fold so I mean then its ok imo.
Because you are trying to exploit your opponent, you could also get exploited by him..
There´s no way to make exploitative plays without also opening yourself to be exploitable.
That´s the funny part of poker.
Thing is, are they regulary exploiting the fact that you overfold this board by betting any2 cards?
I don't mind raising the UTG limp from the button but when the BB squeezed you should have folded AJs preflop, IMO.
If you have a flop folding frequency error they can profitably bet you with xx and make $$$ off of you.
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