AJ, nuts of flop bet/fold river

Posted by Cozacu

Posted by Cozacu posted in Low Stakes

Posted 10 years, 4 months ago

AJ, nuts of flop bet/fold river

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) CO: $10.00
BN: $14.72
SB: $10.20 (Hero)
BB: $23.72
UTG: $10.25
MP: $11.36

Villain 47/24 fish 1.1 AGF 34 hands, 10.5 3b

Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with J A

4 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20

Standard

Flop ($0.60) T Q K

Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

Value bet

Turn ($1.40) T Q K 8

Hero bets $1.10, BB calls $1.10

Value bet. Should I overbet or something?

River ($3.60) T Q K 8 3

Hero bets $2.40, BB raises to $21.92 and is all in, Hero folds

Value bet... he tanks almost his clock off then he shoves, and I think this is nothing else but a flush and I fold pretty quickly.

On river, I think he does have the flush like 99% of the time... if he would have something like a set or two pair I would expect him to either raise flop or at least on turn... so he pretty much has only flushes.

Also I don't think he could raise river believing he does it for value with worst hands because then I think he would raise those hands on earlier streets.

Do you agree with bet/folding river?