200 NL Aces in 3bet pot on a terrible board
Posted by Bakkerflush
Posted by
Bakkerflush
posted in
Mid Stakes
200 NL Aces in 3bet pot on a terrible board
CO: $417.54
BN: $80
SB: $275.44 (Hero)
BB: $425.58
UTG: $200
UTG1: $207.85
LJ: $89.60
HJ: $200
BN: $80
SB: $275.44 (Hero)
BB: $425.58
UTG: $200
UTG1: $207.85
LJ: $89.60
HJ: $200
Preflop
($3.00)
(8 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, LJ folds, HJ raises to $4.40, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $16, BB folds, HJ calls $11.60
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, LJ folds, HJ raises to $4.40, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $16, BB folds, HJ calls $11.60
Flop
($35.00)
T
9
8
(2 Players)
Hero bets $18,
HJ raises to $44.32
Sometimes you really dont know what to do in a hand. This hand I had that feeling!
Villain plays 24/20 and fold 79% to 3bets.
I really had no clue what to do! Just give up the hand or go for it?
Loading 7 Comments...
Depending on all those stats it might be a shove, a call or a fold. We just don´t have enough information.
If you were actually readless, I´d say the following: AA only has 43% vs. 88-QQ. If you´re getting it in you´re risking 166 to win 237, so you need 42%. It seems like you´re getting just enough equity to stack off vs. (what I think) is the best possible range for us. If we exclude QQ our equity drops to 31%. So, I think it´s an easy fold.
Checking the flop might be a good idea, though against this guy with his narrow 3-bet-calling-range it´s probably better to b/f.
What did you end up doing?
you pretty much need to call now. Also worth noting is that although villain's fold to 3bet% pretty high I doubt it's 79% in position.
i would call, call most turns. he can be bluffing esp with your sizing and considering his value range is limited to 13 combo's 25 if you add JJ QQ but i expect most people to call alot of the time, well this is very dependent on villain
This is a FR-table, what´s your expected bluffing-range? Please try to come up with a total range so we can calculate equities, not just "I´d call flop, call turn, he could be bluffing". No doubt that he could, but how often is the big question.
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