Ace high flush facing overbet shove

Posted 7 years, 6 months ago

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $11.23
SB: $18.60 (Hero)
BB: $10.15
UTG: $23.20
MP: $28.04
CO: $11.17

Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with J A

UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.90, BB folds, MP calls $0.60

Flop ($1.90) 4 6 Q

Hero bets $0.90, MP calls $0.90

Turn ($3.70) 4 6 Q 8

Hero checks, MP bets $1.80, Hero calls $1.80

River ($7.30) 4 6 Q 8 9

Hero bets $4.40, MP raises to $24.44 and is all in, Hero calls $10.60 and is all in

Final Pot SB lost and shows a flush, Ace high.
MP wins and shows a straight flush, Eight to Queen.
MP wins $35.80
Rake is $1.50

I felt I needed to call given pot odds even if I was pretty sure villain would do that very rarely with the K high flush...

I had 10.60$ behind on the river so villain is effectively shoving for 10.60$ into a 11.70$ pot., giving me 28% pot odds.

My question is can we really assume an unknown player will shove at least 28% of the time in this situation with a hand we beat?

I'm afraid to be result oriented. What are your opinions?