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AA triple vs nit

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

AA triple vs nit

http://weaktight.com/6758901

Was thinking of check folding this riv bc he chks back everything we beat except AK which i guess he bets a not huge amount otr. Also KQ + QQ decent part of his range, thoughts on value betting riv here thanks



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BL1 10 years, 9 months ago

If he never turns made hands into bluff on this river (a reasonable assumption) then it all depends on how many combos of AK he bets if you check, since AK represents a sizable part of his range.

If he bets no/few AK then check fold since you are always beat when he bets and the EV of checking to go to showdown is better than the EV of betting by ~2-3bb.

If he bets many combos of AK when you check, then it is better to check call... which means you should bet! This beats check folding by ~3-4bb.



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