AA on J63r facing a raise
Posted by RunItTw1ce
Posted by
RunItTw1ce
posted in
Low Stakes
AA on J63r facing a raise
200 NL
villain is recreational player, seems to be cold calling a wide range here, but not very aggro.
Hero MP AdAc $5
Villain cold calls Btn.
Flop ($13) Js-6c-3h
Hero cbet $4
Btn raises to $16
hero 3bets to $48
Hero doesn't make a lot of sense to raise 33 or 66, but could definitely be in this players range. I do think he'll have quite a bit of Jx though, including off suite combos. I do not want to slow down too much and lose value oop because of 6 combos of sets. There are no natural two pairs possible to be worried about.
Turn ($109) Js-6c-3h-7h
Hero ($185) bets $78 (71%)
Villain ($205) folds
on the turn I think my sizing is actually small, as I think my turn barrels here are around 80% pot, but stack sizes are a bit awkward looking back at it, now I am thinking my turn barrel should actually be smaller. Also I am at a 54s disadvantage here, which I think is in villains cold call range preflop, but I do not think he is the player to raise it on the flop. So maybe only give 1 combo of 54s here. I think maybe even just small half pot bet here gets the job done.
What do you think of sizing / line all streets?
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A merged Raise with a lot of stuff in Villains shoes vs 1/3 Cbet could make sense, so in general 3betting AA does make sense to me.
My only Problem here would be to find any bluffs to balance that play. I guess we dont even have 45s ourselves.
So what bluffs could we have here?
But if he is raising merged, i agree that betting really small OTT/OTr makes sense, esp. when we block AJ here.
Think bluffs would be AK, perhaps AK that unblocks bdfd.
Not concerned about balance given that villain is a recreational. The goal is to stack a J here. Flop 3bet is fine, especially since we are OOP. I think you could even do it with 33 and 66 unblocking top pair. Since you say villain is not very aggro, we don't want to risk not building a pot and have villain check behind the turn with QJ or something that would have called our 3bet.
Turn is an interesting spot. We filtered villains range sufficiently on the flop to where the majority of it should be Jx, that being said a rec may get sticky with 99 or something. Given the size of the pot, I think we can actually size down to something like 35-40. A J will never fold to for this price, and may even try to GII. It still leaves an SPR of <1 for the river jam as well.
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