AA face delay cbet on river by solid reg (Tough spot 6max nl50)
Posted by whale2014
Posted by
whale2014
posted in
Low Stakes
AA face delay cbet on river by solid reg (Tough spot 6max nl50)
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (5 Players)
UTG: $221.85
CO: $131.25
BN: $58.78 (Hero)
SB: $69.09
BB: $98.89
CO: $131.25
BN: $58.78 (Hero)
SB: $69.09
BB: $98.89
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BN with
A
A
, , , ,
Flop
($5.25)
7
6
K
, , ,
Turn
($13.25)
7
6
K
4
,
River
($13.25)
7
6
K
4
Q
I choose to not 3b pre bc sb seems sqz happy a lot and bb is a total maniac.
Villain's stats: EPpfr 16 FLOPcbet 72 TURNcbet 50 RIVERbet 32 (over 20k hands) Given he's really solid & crush at nl50, when he bets 9.5 into 13.25 I don't think he would take this line as bluff or value bet hand like KJ.
My AA only beat/chop vs a very few combos of AK/AA but lose to all sets, KQo KQs ,back door flushes .
The prolem is I played my AA so "tricky", my range looks very capped and weak on the river , so he might take advantage here with hand like AJo ? Btw, my turn play looks very bad I don't know why I did this.
Tough spot for me, what do you think?
Loading 16 Comments...
You can do nothing but to call here. Always. No matter if it is a reg or a fish, you just cant fold. Also, even if it is a winning reg, he can value bet worse, he can be bluffing (less likely but definitely possible), his line is not strong (which strong hands check this turn?) and etc etc etc just click the call button and you will be fine
Check-raise 77 66 KK on the turn is pretty standard imo, he might check some flush draws occasionally. If villain is not solid reg, he could def bet worse for value, but I just don't feel this guy would do such a thing.
Calling seems fine. Our hand doesn't look terribly strong when the turn checks through so we can have like 1010 in his eyes. Also I'm betting the turn here. There's a fair amount of value and if we want to protect 1010 we can check KJ which works better as a check anyway since we block Kx.
Def agree with check-back Kx sometime to protect our range, check back AA here is probably a big mistake it just lose so much value to Kx.
He probably barrels turn with flushdraws and Kx so expect him to show up with QQ a lot here, some KT-AK and some small % of flushes.
Can't really fold when your hand is so underreped but don't expect him to show up with worse then KTs or have too many bluffs.
Yes it's actually very close . .I ended up fold my hand, follow my gut feeling.
good luck with waiting for pocket quads
gaucan, that's not constructive. no need to flame a user for posting a spot that seems so standard to you
This. You should probably call because your hand is too underrepped but I do think you're beat a lot.
I would have bet turn too.
The Bet / X / Bet line is rarely a bluff and I don't think he VB worst as I expect him to 2 barrel his good K OTT.
I think bet turn with AA is pretty mandatory
KQ is a hand that makes a lot sense for him to check T and bet R
You say that you range looks caped which is just one more thing in favor of calling the river, he would probably cbet turn with flush draws (you block the NFD), and he would not take this line on such a board with floped or turned sets.
I'd call, and it's not even close for me. As the others have said - your hand is way too underrepped to find a fold here.
Would you fold A7 OTR?
Because having AA or A7 doesn't change a lot of thing OTR as I don't expect him to bet 88-JJ, Qx and Kx (his good Kx mostly 2 barrel and I don't think he VB KT OTR, especially so big). It's just better to have AA if he is capable of turning 88 into a bluff. And I know we block NF with our hand but I expect him to 2 barrel most of his NFD OTT (exept maybe A6cc, A7cc) so having the Ac doesn't change a lot.
Thoughts?
I would def fold A7 bc now AK AA beat me
Villain almost never has you beat here unless he has QQ maybe. KQ bets turn for sure, backdoor fds bet most of the time and 2pair plus always bet here too. Since you check back turn he doesnt put you on a king and value bets most of his Qx hands.
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