AA decision on the turn NL10
Posted by OMGNotAgain
Posted by
OMGNotAgain
posted in
Low Stakes
AA decision on the turn NL10
UTG: $12.49
HJ: $10.56 (Hero)
CO: $10.15
BN: $10.27
SB: $9.01
BB: $22.53
HJ: $10.56 (Hero)
CO: $10.15
BN: $10.27
SB: $9.01
BB: $22.53
Preflop
($0.15)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.35, CO folds, BN calls $0.35, SB folds, BB calls $0.25
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.35, CO folds, BN calls $0.35, SB folds, BB calls $0.25
Flop
($1.10)
4
2
5
(3 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $0.82,
BN calls $0.82,
BB folds
Turn
($2.74)
J
(2 Players)
Hero bets $1.60,
BN raises to $3.60
20/14/2
Fold to Cbet 55 %/ Fold to turn c-bet 31 %
Check raise 2%
What's your play on the turn?
Loading 6 Comments...
2% check/raise should already send big red alarm signals to your brain when you see that number and get near minraised on the turn;
ask yourself:
-is the flop drawy? hm not really.. other than straight draws that he probably doesnt have often
-in the past when i get near minraised on the turn at this limit and went to showdown, what did villains have? sets? bluffs? top pair strong kicker? straights? more than 90% against regular villains, the answer will be a nutted hand.
-does his sizing looks more value or bluff? his sizing basically screams call me please i didn't raise that big, come see river with me! = value
Just fold it, you'll never show a profit here without specific reads on villain that he tends to be spewy post flop, i might be tempted to call once and shutdown on many rivers if we didn't have the nutflush draw blocker because it would make a bit of sense if he called preflop with Axhh in position (not that it's really a good idea), called flop with his straight draw then raised turn because of all the outs he just got and fold equity, but it isn't the case here, you're most likely against a set with the line he took.
Also i would cbet bigger on the flop and turn, calling ranges wont change if you bet .82 or .95 on the flop due to the texture, you want to extract as much value as you can from 66-TT in case that an overcard hits the turn and scares them off their hand, as played your cbet for value is just way too small on the turn.. on the flop it's not too bad like i said you're missing maybe like around .10 value but on the turn you could cbet at least 2.15-.2.20
A more relevant stat might be "raise turn IP" seeing as this isn't a check-raise - but c/r stat suggests he is never bluffing.
But since we do have a gutter, as well as the chance to overset for a stack and the off-chance he has something silly and we can check down the river - I probably end up calling turn and folding to a river jam.
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