AA against unknown - 16NL FR, bet/fold turn?
Posted by jamo
Posted by
jamo
posted in
Low Stakes
AA against unknown - 16NL FR, bet/fold turn?
HJ: $17.72
CO: $16
BN: $20.87
SB: $14.56
BB: $16 (Hero)
UTG: $16.68
UTG1: $17.69
LJ: $16.79
CO: $16
BN: $20.87
SB: $14.56
BB: $16 (Hero)
UTG: $16.68
UTG1: $17.69
LJ: $16.79
Preflop
($0.24)
(8 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
UTG folds, UTG1 raises to $0.48, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.52, UTG1 calls $1.04
UTG folds, UTG1 raises to $0.48, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.52, UTG1 calls $1.04
Flop
($3.28)
5
4
T
(2 Players)
Hero bets $1.99,
UTG1 calls $1.99
Turn
($7.26)
5
4
T
J
(2 Players)
Hero bets $4,
UTG1 raises to $14.18, and is all in
I have no reads or stats on this player as it is the first hand we have played together. On the turn in a 3b pot I feel that I gave him too much credit for being able to read the strength of my hand (something like AK,QQ+) and therefore must have a hand stronger than that to jam the turn. Looking back now I feel that folding the turn would be a mistake as he could easily have AJ,QQ,KK in his range too. What do you think? Bet/fold here or bet/call?
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Ill bet/call but certainly not happy about it in these positions, but ye he could have KK maybe and KQs he should not really be raising TT,JJ, too much here and when we fold AA here i think we fold pretty much our entire range.
Against an unknown you should probably assume he`s at the top of his range more often then not (JJ-TT,55-44,JTs,AdTd,KdTd,QdTd), so folding is fine.
I don´t expect 44-55 to be in an unknowns/default range but definitely QQ and KK. By replacing these hands we got 39% (TT+,JTs,AdTd,KdTd,QdTd) requiring 35% taking rake into account ~37%. So according to this range it is a narrow call. With any addictional information that gives me a reason to expect him having some spews in his range (i.e. avatar/name/nationality/chat) i would consider it to be a much easier call
Assuming Villian is capable of having some kind of floats like JTss, KQss etc., you should jam.
You only lose to sets and 4 combos of JTs, if he defends those.
You're very high up in your range, and there's already a lot of money in the pot, so I think folding would be bad.
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