A9s in 3bet pot - call down 3barrells
Posted by BOE
Posted by
BOE
posted in
Mid Stakes
A9s in 3bet pot - call down 3barrells
Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (5 Players)
BN: $247.44 (Hero)
SB: $700.75
BB: $200.00
UTG: $203.00
CO: $200.00
SB: $700.75
BB: $200.00
UTG: $203.00
CO: $200.00
Preflop
($3.00)
Hero is BN with
A
9
, , , ,
Flop
($37.30)
6
9
3
,
Turn
($84.52)
6
9
3
3
,
River
($189.74)
6
9
3
3
K
,
BB 3bets 12% BBvsBTN and cbets in 3bet pot 70/47/60. The river King is a perfect card to barrel for him.
My range on the river is 51 combos or so: JdJh,JdJs,JhJs,TT-66,33,AcQc,AcJc,AcTc,Ad9d,Ah9h,As9s,Ac8c,Ac7c,Ac6c,Ac5c,Ac4c,Ac2c,Kd9d,Kh9h,Ks9s,Qd9d,Qh9h,Qs9s,Jd9d,Jh9h,Js9s,Td9d,Th9h,Ts9s,9d8d,9h8h,9s8s.
Should I call only with sets, K9s, A3s and TT-JJ or can I add more combos ?
Loading 6 Comments...
Certainly you can add more combos.
Reasons:
* All gutshots missed (T8s, 87s) and you don't block them.
* All flush draws missed and you don't block them.
* A9 blocks 3 AK and 3 AA from value range, some players will check TT-QQ OTR. So his value range could be narrow and bluff range wide.
A9noclubs is the best combo to add here, that's for sure. Q9noclubs I guess second best.
OK but for GTO assuming that I arrive otr with 53 combos how many of them should I call?
If you fold more than 105 / (189 + 105) = 36% then villain makes money on jamming any two.
So you need to call 64% * 53 = 34 combos:
* 9 two pair +
* 9 JJ, TT
* 15 9x
Total 33.
But it is ok to overfold on bad runouts I believe. Maybe you fold less on club rivered (unless you fold JJ, TT there too).
maybe you mean 105/400=26%. But I didn't explain myself well, I meant if villain 3barrel GTO I need to defend just 26% is it right?
Absolutely not.
The problem here is that villain bluff more or less 50bb to win 100bb pot, so he is laying himself a very profitable bluffing opportunity. If you fold more than 50/150 then he is making money on a bluff.
But for you to call here, you need to win this hand only 26% of the time, so that your call is breakeven. If you win more than 26%, than you are making money on the call. If less, than losing money.
if we fold A9 here, what are we calling the 3barrels with?
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