A8s: x/r 2.PTK as a bluff on the turn? (NL100)

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A8s: x/r 2.PTK as a bluff on the turn? (NL100)

SB: 40.69
BB: 133.09 (Hero)
UTG: 103.30
HJ: 136.85
CO: 101.50
BN: 176.64
Villain is in the CO
The SB is a 44/13 (fish)
We are in the BB
Preflop (1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to 2.50, SB folds, SB calls 2, Hero calls 1.50
Flop (7.50) Q 8 5 (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets 5, SB calls 5, Hero calls 5
Turn (22.50) 4 (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets 16, SB folds, Hero raises to 35, CO calls 19
River (92.50) 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets 60
Villain has 59 left and needs 28% Equity

Villain

notes:

-x/c AKo as 4better CO vs BU on 347r
-is able to x/r bluff on the river
-3bet 22 sb vs bu
-x/c (t) w TP after check (f) w Ahigh oop
-Cc J9o sb vs BU


- CO oR 24%

- F turnvs x/r 50% (8)


Given that the SB is a bad player I do think taht Villain is oR a bit wider:

22+,A2s+,K6s+,Q7s+,J8s+,T8s+,97s+,87s,76s,65s,54s,A9o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo


Flop:

I think x/c is the fine. There are argument for a lead if Villain is very passiv, do get money from the fish, but as played a x/r shouldnt be an option on the flop. 


Turn:

First lets look at Villains range:

He is going to barrel all his FDs

He is going to bet some GSs

He is going to valuebet all QJ+

He is going to valuebet some worse TPs


Do we want to have a check/raising range as a bluff? Which hands should we check/raise?

I guess we defently want to check/rasie some hands on this turn. For value 76s/88/55 and as a semi bluff our FDs (KhTh,JhTh,Ah9h,Kh9h,Jh9h,Th9h,Ah7h,Kh7h,Jh7h,Th7h,9h7h,Ah5h,Kh5h,Ah4h,Kh4h,5h4h,Ah3h,Kh3h,Ah2h,Kh2h)

I probably x/r some of the FD on the flop and x/c Ah5h ect. on the turn, but that is imo not too important.

Do we want to x/r w some blocker? I guess Ah8x is the nut blocker and a good canidate to x/r but what are with A8s/87s/98s? We rarely have 9h8x or 8x7h in our range which would be I guess better hands.


River:

The 6h hits our range very good. If Villain has AQ he will have a pretty taff decision and vs. a push imo a fold, given that I do not bluff blockers to often in this spot and therefore he just does not beat much. Given that I guess all hearts are a push if we decide to x/r the turn with a hand like this.

Do you agree here?


Thx for your help :)

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