92buyin downsing
Posted by Declan McKenna
Posted by
Declan McKenna
posted in
Low Stakes
92buyin downsing
I've played 100NL since 2007, up until this year I'd never lost money over 2 consecutive months, a losing month would be a pretty rare thing.
100NL Graph
This year I've played fulltime and switched to 6max, my game has improved a lot from previous years. I have put a lot of effort in to my improving my game. I've spent 10hours a week stoving, running CREV sims, watching videos and have spent my bonuses and rakeback on coaching, software, and training sites yet have faced results so bad I no longer consider myself a winning player.
What I'm asking here is for opinions on whether this could feasibly be variance? If it isn't, whether it's worth continuing as I fear my game simply isn't improving at the pace the games in general are.
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Pretty big swings. How does your all in Ev look?
Do you have tile issues?
Last 50k hands look the worse with a 70 buy in dive ehich is pretty crazy. What happened during that time? Mental aspects? Changed something in your game? Didn't sacrifice any goats to the God of Fortune? Etc..
My EV line is still negative over 185K but not nearly as swingy.
To the best of my knowledge I don't have tilt issues but December last year (last 100K hands I 24tabled 200NL to reach supernova) was similar to my last 7months and the first time I'd ever had a swing beyond 25buyins.
No big changes, I started raising more flops, coming up with wider flop and turn check/calling ranges for balance and have been defending my blinds much wider.
Look more into your HM, and Filter out Spots where your leaking money, and adjust accordingly. Be more willing to change your Overall gameplan every 2-3K hands, based on General Population tendencies.
These are few things i would look into.
Any suggestions?
I think I'm going to start with vs 3bet and vs 4bet filters, throw in some pots we're I'm not the preflop raiser and how I fare vs c-bets. I'll need more than my own results to scale what's good and what's bad so I'll likely make some filter threads within this forum.
Well 45 buy ins down in EV vs 65 is still a difference. Looking at that older graph I'd say you have a similar problem as myself and that's extremely swingy results. I've been working on it and for me personally I know for a fact it's partly tilt based. A very subtle tilt that makes me play my B game instead of A game. Another factor is that with a lower winrate you swings will be bigger.
The changes you mention could have an affect on your overall line. My suggestion (which you may already done) would be to do a really deep analysis of your last 50k hands in HM or PT. really look at where you are losing compared to before. Look if you can find any kind of patterns that aren't variance.
The variance part is important since it's not a massive amount of hands.
I've done this for all big pots, it's mostly coolers from what I can see which leads me to believe it's the medium to smaller pots I'm bleeding money or that my definition of a cooler is way off.
How many tables are you plaing simultaneously? Fast fold variant (like Zoom, Rush ...) or regular tables? Do you tableselect?
This year I've played no more than 6tables of regular 100NL. I bumhunt very hard, if there isn't a fullstacked fish within one of the three seats to my right I leave the table unless their a 50+vpip drooler then I'll stay even if they're to my left.
Yeah ne option is definitely to reduce number of tables. Your 24 tabling results speak for themselves. Maybe you are playing to many tables now as well
Well I wasn't only thinking of the big pots. Use some filters. Do some detective work.
Was merely my first point of call. I used to be part of a private forum were we'd run filters and compare results, unfortunately it closed and people are much less willing to take part in such things within public forums but I'll likely give it a go.
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